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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Willem II

T T U S U

3–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 24%

16%

32%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

60%

52%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

2,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%

17 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 3

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 16. · Heerenveen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	24	19	3	2	+57	60
2	PSV Eindhoven	25	16	6	3	+31	54
3	AZ Alkmaar	25	14	7	4	+20	49
4	Vitesse	25	15	3	7	+15	48
5	Feyenoord	23	13	5	5	+26	44
6	Groningen	24	12	5	7	+5	41
7	Twente	25	9	9	7	+7	36
8	Utrecht	22	9	8	5	+8	35
9	Heerenveen	25	8	9	8	+0	33
10	Heracles	25	9	5	11	-10	32
11	For Sittard	25	9	4	12	-9	31
12	Zwolle	25	5	11	9	-7	26
13	Sparta Rotterdam	24	7	5	12	-7	26
14	Waalwijk	25	5	8	12	-14	23
15	VVV Venlo	25	6	4	15	-30	22
16	Willem II	25	4	6	15	-27	18
17	Den Haag	25	2	9	14	-33	15
18	FC Emmen	25	2	7	16	-32	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	13	10	2	1	+15	32
2	Ajax	12	10	1	1	+26	31
3	PSV Eindhoven	12	10	1	1	+20	31
4	Groningen	13	7	4	2	+7	25
5	Feyenoord	10	7	2	1	+20	23
6	AZ Alkmaar	12	7	2	3	+8	23
7	Heerenveen	12	6	3	3	+8	21
8	Heracles	13	6	2	5	+5	20
9	Utrecht	12	5	5	2	+4	20
10	Zwolle	12	3	6	3	+1	15
11	Twente	13	3	5	5	-1	14
12	For Sittard	13	4	2	7	-6	14
13	Waalwijk	13	3	4	6	-4	13
14	VVV Venlo	12	3	3	6	-17	12
15	Willem II	12	3	2	7	-12	11
16	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	3	7	-5	9
17	FC Emmen	13	1	4	8	-17	7
18	Den Haag	12	0	6	6	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	2	1	+31	29
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	5	1	+12	26
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	6	5	2	+11	23
4	Twente	12	6	4	2	+8	22
5	Feyenoord	13	6	3	4	+6	21
6	Sparta Rotterdam	12	5	2	5	-2	17
7	For Sittard	12	5	2	5	-3	17
8	Vitesse	12	5	1	6	+0	16
9	Groningen	11	5	1	5	-2	16
10	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Heerenveen	13	2	6	5	-8	12
12	Heracles	12	3	3	6	-15	12
13	Zwolle	13	2	5	6	-8	11
14	Waalwijk	12	2	4	6	-10	10
15	VVV Venlo	13	3	1	9	-13	10
16	Den Haag	13	2	3	8	-21	9
17	Willem II	13	1	4	8	-15	7
18	FC Emmen	12	1	3	8	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.