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Eredivisie
Referee: Robin Hensgens
Go Ahead Eagles
U U U T T
4–1
Full-time
Willem II
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,8
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,43 xG 1,51
69% Possession 31%
20 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Mar -25 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 1–0 18. Aug -24 Willem II – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 8. Apr -22 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 4–0 27. Nov -21 Willem II – Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 16. Apr -17 Willem II – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Willem II
13′
⚽ D. Haen 0–1
N. Tjoe a On
Dean James 🟨
19′
1–1 S. Tengstedt ⚽
M. Meulensteen
30′
Julius Dirksen 🟨
34′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Meulensteen ⚽
M. Suray
61′
E. Flataker 🔁
↦ S. I. Sigurdarson
62′
3–1 E. Flataker ⚽
V. Edvardsen
63′
68′
🔁 W. van der Steen
↦ T. Didillon Hodl
68′
🔁 A. Et Taibi
↦ P. van Loon
4–1 J. Dirksen ⚽
M. Suray
69′
T. Baeten 🔁
↦ D. James
75′
C. Twigt 🔁
↦ M. Meulensteen
75′
G. van Zwam 🔁
↦ J. Dirksen
75′
76′
🔁 M. Lemmens
↦ E. Gurbuz
R. Margaret 🔁
↦ M. Suray
83′
90′
🔁 J. van Esdonk
↦ K. Boogaard
90′
🔁 I. Mouhoul
↦ J. Slory
91′
🟨 Ismael Mouhoul
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 K. Haug G
2 A. Sampsted D
26 J. Dirksen D
4 J. Kramer D
5 D. James D
8 E. Linthorst M
21 M. Meulensteen M
10 S. Tengstedt M
16 V. Edvardsen M
17 M. Suray M
9 S. I. Sigurdarson F
Bench (12)
22 N. Marsman
33 N. Verdoni
18 R. Margaret
23 T. Baeten
6 C. Twigt
29 E. Flataker
25 G. van Zwam
20 E. Waayers
34 Y. Salah Rahmouni
31 D. Tijman
11 O. Sivertsen
32 O. Boakye

Coach: Melvin Boel

Willem II

4-4-2
1 T. Didillon Hodl G
22 P. van Loon D
3 F. Stam D
4 J. Hoogma D
24 N. Tjoe a On D
50 E. Gurbuz M
2 A. Ciranni M
8 K. Boogaard M
7 J. Slory M
9 D. Haen F
19 U. van Aalst F
Bench (11)
21 W. van der Steen
31 K. de Leeuw
15 A. Et Taibi
45 S. Wermenbol
48 J. van Esdonk
28 T. Verheydt
83 M. Lemmens
14 J. Mathijsen
40 D. Iglesias
49 I. Mouhoul
44 L. Maal

Coach: John Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
🔒
U
4,07
🔒
B
4,59
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,55
🔒
U2,5
2,32
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.