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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Willem II
T S T T T
0–0
Full-time
Heerenveen
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
54%
43%
Both score Ø 49%
46%
52%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 15. · Heerenveen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 24 18 3 3 +64 57
2 PSV Eindhoven 24 18 1 5 +29 55
3 Feyenoord 24 16 3 5 +34 51
4 Twente 24 13 6 5 +8 45
5 AZ Alkmaar 22 14 2 6 +17 44
6 Utrecht 22 11 5 6 +12 38
7 Vitesse 21 11 2 8 -7 35
8 Cambuur 24 10 3 11 -10 33
9 Nijmegen 24 8 7 9 -7 31
10 Groningen 24 7 8 9 -5 29
11 Heracles 24 7 5 12 -6 26
12 Go Ahead Eagles 24 7 5 12 -15 26
13 Heerenveen 23 7 4 12 -12 25
14 Waalwijk 24 5 8 11 -13 23
15 Willem II 24 6 3 15 -22 21
16 For Sittard 23 5 4 14 -27 19
17 Sparta Rotterdam 23 3 8 12 -19 17
18 Zwolle 24 4 5 15 -21 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Heerenveen
Half-time 0–0
64′
🔁 A. Musaba
↦ S. de Jong
Görkem Sağlam 🟨
71′
73′
🔁 F. Stevanović
↦ S. van Hooijdonk
C. Nunnely 🔁
↦ M. Svensson
74′
74′
🔁 A. Tahiri
↦ N. Madsen
G. Roemeratoe 🔁
↦ D. Crowley
87′
E. Kabangu 🔁
↦ G. Sağlam
87′
93′
🔁 A. van der Heide
↦ A. Sarr
Dries Saddiki 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Willem II

4-2-3-1
21 T. Wellenreuther G
3 F. Heerkens D
13 L. Owusu D
6 W. Dammers D
27 D. Köhn D
19 D. Crowley M
23 G. Sağlam M
17 D. Saddiki M
11 M. Köhlert M
15 M. Svensson M
9 J. Hornkamp F
Bench (11)
7 C. Nunnely
20 G. Roemeratoe
14 E. Kabangu
26 J. Brondeel
25 N. Michelis
5 E. Bergström
10 A. Kampetsis
2 K. Ludewig
24 C. van den Berg
18 M. Nelom
4 U. Jenssen

Coach: F. Grim

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
1 E. Mulder G
5 L. Woudenberg D
4 S. van Beek D
14 I. Drešević D
27 M. van Ewijk D
6 S. de Jong M
33 T. Haye M
10 T. Halilović M
29 N. Madsen M
20 S. van Hooijdonk F
9 A. Sarr M
Bench (12)
11 A. Musaba
7 F. Stevanović
26 A. Tahiri
16 A. van der Heide
15 N. Bakker
3 J. van Aken
18 H. Akujobi
17 R. Al Hajj
22 X. Mous
23 J. Bekkema
13 R. Kaib
19 J. Ras

Coach: O. Tobiasen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U ✓
3,29
B
2,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.