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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gozubuyuk

Telstar

U S U S T

0–2

Full-time

Zwolle

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Telstar Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,85 xG 2,36

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 0

0 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Telstar 13. · Zwolle 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
12	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
14	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
15	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
17	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
18	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	+5	+0.5	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	+5	+1.4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	+4	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	+3	+0.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Zwolle	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	For Sittard	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	1

#	Team	K	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
2	Volendam	1	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
3	Twente	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
4	Telstar	1	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
5	NAC Breda	1	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
6	Groningen	1	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
7	Heracles	1	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
9	Excelsior	1	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.