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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Excelsior
S U U T T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Excelsior For Sittard
Ryan Koolwijk 🟨
22′
A. Damen 🔁
↦ S. Stevens
29′
1–0 J. Mattheij
A. Hadouir
32′
Half-time 1–1
53′
J. Smeets 1–1
Luigi Bruins 🟥
57′
69′
🔁 G. Vlijter
↦ J. Smeets
72′
🟨 Kai Heerings
R. van der Meer 🔁
↦ A. Hadouir
78′
Jerdy Schouten 🟨
79′
81′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ L. Hutten
Jurgen Matheij 🟨
90′
C. Fermina 🔁
↦ A. Messaoud
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-3-3
20 S. Stevens G
28 L. Burnet D
15 J. Mattheij D
3 H. Matthys D
7 A. Hadouir F
10 L. Bruins F
8 R. Koolwijk M
22 Jeffry Fortes D
14 A. Messaoud M
19 M. Anderson M
6 J. Schouten M
Bench (10)
1 A. Damen
5 R. van der Meer
32 C. Fermina
35 R. El Hankouri
11 J. Caenepeel
23 M. de Fockert
30 J. Fischer
24 D. Mahmudov
4 T. Oude Kotte
21 D. Haspolat

Coach: A. Poldervaart

For Sittard

4-3-3
77 A. Koşelev G
4 K. Heerings D
23 Mica Pinto D
3 W. Dammers D
17 A. Ciranni D
25 L. Hutten M
10 M. Diemers M
8 A. El Messaoudi M
6 J. Smeets M
14 Lisandro Semedo F
9 A. Novakovich F
Bench (9)
22 G. Vlijter
19 F. Stokkers
7 André Vidigal
30 R. Ramírez
21 A. Dobos
28 L. Kojić
5 B. Ňinaj
27 R. Koot
13 M. Ospitalieri

Coach: R. Eijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.