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Eredivisie
Referee: Christaan Bax
For Sittard
S U T S T
4–1
Full-time
Excelsior
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
75%
70%
Both score Ø 63%
65%
60%
Average goals
3,7
3,9
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
2,1
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 13. · Excelsior 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 18 1 1 +58 55
2 Ajax 21 16 2 3 +53 50
3 Feyenoord 21 13 3 5 +20 42
4 AZ Alkmaar 21 11 4 6 +17 37
5 Heracles 20 9 2 9 -6 29
6 VVV Venlo 21 8 5 8 -7 29
7 Utrecht 18 7 4 7 +1 25
8 Willem II 21 7 4 10 -7 25
9 Zwolle 21 7 4 10 -8 25
10 Vitesse 18 6 6 6 +1 24
11 Den Haag 20 6 6 8 -11 24
12 Heerenveen 21 5 8 8 -5 23
13 For Sittard 20 6 5 9 -9 23
14 Excelsior 20 6 4 10 -20 22
15 Groningen 19 6 3 10 -3 21
16 FC Emmen 20 5 6 9 -21 21
17 De Graafschap 21 5 3 13 -28 18
18 NAC Breda 21 4 4 13 -25 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Excelsior
1–0 L. Lamprou
M. Diemers
13′
23′
🔁 D. Eckert
↦ L. Bruins
25′
🟨 Jeffrey Fortes
32′
🟨 Thomas Oude Kotte
2–0 L. Lamprou
33′
Half-time 2–1
55′
A. Messaoud 2–1
L. Burnet
3–1 M. Diemers
64′
Alessandro Ciranni 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 D. Mahmudov
↦ M. Edwards
79′
🔁 A. Hadouir
↦ T. Oude Kotte
M. Dembele 🔁
↦ L. Lamprou
83′
A. El Messaoudi 🔁
↦ A. Balić
88′
José Rodríguez 🟨
90′
4–1 A. Novakovich
A. El Messaoudi
90′
L. Hutten 🔁
↦ Lisandro Semedo
91′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-3-3
77 A. Koşelev G
13 M. Ospitalieri D
30 R. Ramírez D
17 A. Ciranni D
34 José Rodríguez M
10 M. Diemers M
99 A. Balić M
6 J. Smeets M
14 Lisandro Semedo F
97 L. Lamprou F
9 A. Novakovich F
Bench (10)
24 M. Dembele
8 A. El Messaoudi
25 L. Hutten
31 S. Rau
1 A. Özer
21 A. Dobos
28 A. Jug
33 A. Zeka
12 N. El Ablak
15 D. Ioannidis

Coach: R. Eijer

Excelsior

4-3-3
1 A. Damen G
28 L. Burnet D
15 J. Mattheij D
4 T. Oude Kotte D
10 L. Bruins F
8 R. Koolwijk M
22 Jeffry Fortes D
14 A. Messaoud M
18 M. Edwards F
6 J. Schouten M
34 M. El Hamdaoui F
Bench (9)
11 D. Eckert
24 D. Mahmudov
7 A. Hadouir
9 E. Ómarsson
23 M. de Fockert
21 D. Haspolat
20 S. Stevens
5 R. van der Meer
2 S. Horemans

Coach: A. Poldervaart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.