Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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For Sittard
Excelsior
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | +58 | 55 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | +53 | 50 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | +20 | 42 |
| 4 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +17 | 37 |
| 5 |
Heracles
|
20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | -6 | 29 |
| 6 |
VVV Venlo
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 25 |
| 8 |
Willem II
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -7 | 25 |
| 9 |
Zwolle
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -8 | 25 |
| 10 |
Vitesse
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +1 | 24 |
| 11 |
Den Haag
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 24 |
| 12 |
Heerenveen
|
21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 23 |
| 13 |
For Sittard
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 23 |
| 14 |
Excelsior
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 |
Groningen
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 |
FC Emmen
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -21 | 21 |
| 17 |
De Graafschap
|
21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -28 | 18 |
| 18 |
NAC Breda
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -25 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Koşelev
G
A. Ciranni
D
Lisandro Semedo
F
L. Lamprou
F
Coach: R. Eijer
M. Edwards
F
Coach: A. Poldervaart
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
PSV Eindhoven
For Sittard
For Sittard
Vitesse
De Graafschap
For Sittard
For Sittard
Groningen
Feyenoord
For Sittard
Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.