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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Heerenveen
S T U U S
2–1
Full-time
For Sittard
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,3
4,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,0
3,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
23 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 7. · For Sittard 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Ajax 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Twente 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +4 5
8 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -4 5
9 Nijmegen 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Cambuur 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 FC Emmen 4 1 1 2 -6 4
13 Waalwijk 4 0 3 1 -1 3
14 Utrecht 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Volendam 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Vitesse 4 0 1 3 -9 1
17 For Sittard 3 0 0 3 -7 0
18 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen For Sittard
1–0 S. van Hooijdonk
22′
2–0 M. van Ewijk
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 T. Noslin
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
46′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ C. Bassett
66′
🔁 A. Ferati
↦ D. Erdoğan
R. Kaib 🔁
↦ M. Köhlert
75′
S. Olsson 🔁
↦ T. Halilović
75′
A. Timossi Andersson 🔁
↦ S. van Hooijdonk
81′
Joost van Aken 🟨
83′
84′
🔁 R. Vita
↦ M. Tirpan
84′
B. Yılmaz 2–1
91′
🟨 Burak Yılmaz
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

5-3-2
44 A. Noppert G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 S. van Beek D
5 P. Bochniewicz D
3 J. van Aken D
7 M. Köhlert D
33 T. Haye M
26 A. Tahiri M
10 T. Halilović M
9 A. Sarr F
17 S. van Hooijdonk F
Bench (10)
13 R. Kaib
19 S. Olsson
8 A. Timossi Andersson
34 T. Zaal
1 X. Mous
6 S. van Ottele
21 D. Nunumete
22 R. Al Hajj
15 H. Ali
23 J. Bekkema

Coach: K. van Wonderen

For Sittard

4-1-4-1
31 I. Pandur G
25 M. Tirpan D
14 Rodrigo Guth D
33 D. Siovas D
5 G. Cox D
21 D. Erdoğan M
7 Iñigo Córdoba M
6 Deroy Duarte M
8 C. Bassett M
10 M. Seuntjens M
17 B. Yılmaz F
Bench (10)
77 T. Noslin
11 P. Gladon
19 A. Ferati
61 R. Vita
4 R. Janssen
90 V. Sourlis
22 T. Hendriks
1 Y. van Osch
34 T. Taşçı
18 M. van Beijnen

Coach: D. Vergoossen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,63
U
4,11
B
5,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.