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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Lille

S U T S U

1–0

Full-time

Monaco

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

6,0

4,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,92 xG 1,25

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 6

1 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 13. · Monaco 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.2	6
2	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.1	6
3	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.9	6
4	Strasbourg	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.7	6
5	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+3	+2.9	3
6	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
8	Nice	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.6	3
9	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.8	3
10	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.6	3
11	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
12	Rennes	2	1	0	1	-3	-3.2	3
13	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
14	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
15	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.6	0
16	Le Havre	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.3	0
17	Paris FC	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.8	0
18	Metz	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.0	3
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
3	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
5	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Nice	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.6	3
7	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
8	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
10	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
11	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
12	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
13	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
14	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
15	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
16	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
2	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
4	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
6	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
7	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
8	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
9	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
10	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
12	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
13	Brest	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
14	Metz	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
15	Paris FC	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.8	0
16	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.