Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Strasbourg
Nantes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lyon
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +2.2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Paris SG
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +2.9 | 6 |
| 3 |
Lorient
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | +2.9 | 3 |
| 4 |
Marseille
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | +2.0 | 3 |
| 5 |
Monaco
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +1.2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Nice
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +0.6 | 3 |
| 7 |
Toulouse
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.3 | 3 |
| 9 |
Angers
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -1.6 | 3 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.4 | 3 |
| 11 |
Rennes
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -3.2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Brest
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 13 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.3 | 0 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Le Havre
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -1.2 | 0 |
| 17 |
Paris FC
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -1.8 | 0 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -2.5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Sarr
D
A. Omobamidele
D
I. Doukoure
D
J. Mwanga
M
F. Lemarechal
M
S. El Mourabet
M
A. Ouattara
M
S. Nanasi
F
Coach: Gary O'Neil
A. Lopes
G
K. Amian
D
C. Awaziem
D
T. Tati
D
N. Cozza
D
F. Coquelin
M
L. Leroux
M
J. Lepenant
M
B. Guirassy
M
Mostafa Mohamed
F
Coach: Vahid Halilhodzic
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Strasbourg
Brondby
Metz
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Le Havre
Angers
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Paris SG
B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.