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Ligue 1
Referee: B Dechepy
Strasbourg
S T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Nantes
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,78 xG 0,44
49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 8. · Nantes 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.2 6
2 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.9 6
3 Lorient 2 1 0 1 +3 +2.9 3
4 Marseille 2 1 0 1 +2 +2.0 3
5 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.2 3
6 Nice 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.6 3
7 Toulouse 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.2 3
8 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.3 3
9 Angers 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.6 3
10 Auxerre 2 1 0 1 -1 -0.4 3
11 Rennes 2 1 0 1 -3 -3.2 3
12 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
13 Lille 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
14 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.3 0
15 Lens 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.0 0
16 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.2 0
17 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.8 0
18 Metz 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Nantes
22′
🟨 Chidozie Awaziem
V. Barco 🔁
↦ A. Omobamidele
41′
Half-time 0–0
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ S. Nanasi
46′
54′
🟨 Francis Coquelin
56′
🔁 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
↦ F. Coquelin
56′
🔁 M. Abline
↦ B. Guirassy
D. Moreira 🔁
↦ K. Paez
64′
D. Bakwa 🔁
↦ S. El Mourabet
65′
Ismael Doukouré 🟨
66′
71′
🔁 Hong Hyun-Seok
↦ L. Leroux
R. Luis 🔁
↦ F. Lemarechal
75′
1–0 E. Emegha
D. Bakwa
81′
85′
🔁 D. Tabibou
↦ J. Lepenant
85′
🔁 Y. El Arabi
↦ Y. Benhattab
Joaquin Panichelli 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Strasbourg

3-4-2-1
1 K. Johnsson G
23 M. Sarr D
2 A. Omobamidele D
6 I. Doukoure D
18 J. Mwanga M
80 F. Lemarechal M
29 S. El Mourabet M
42 A. Ouattara M
16 K. Paez F
11 S. Nanasi F
9 J. Panichelli F
Bench (9)
50 S. Bajic
32 V. Barco
77 E. Sobol
83 R. Luis
7 D. Moreira
26 D. Bakwa
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
14 S. Mara
10 E. Emegha

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Nantes

4-1-4-1
1 A. Lopes G
98 K. Amian D
6 C. Awaziem D
78 T. Tati D
3 N. Cozza D
13 F. Coquelin M
90 Y. Benhattab M
66 L. Leroux M
8 J. Lepenant M
11 B. Guirassy M
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
Bench (9)
30 P. Carlgren
72 S. Doucoure
93 J. Duverne
5 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
17 D. Tabibou
7 Hong Hyun-Seok
36 A. Camara
9 Y. El Arabi
10 M. Abline

Coach: Vahid Halilhodzic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,65
B
4,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.