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Champions League
Referee: I Kovács
Paris SG
T S S S S
5–0
Full-time
Inter
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 67%
63%
71%
Points per game
1,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
44%
36%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,12 xG 0,49
59% Possession 41%
23 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Paris SG Inter
1–0 A. Hakimi ⚽
D. Doué
12′
2–0 D. Doué ⚽
O. Dembélé
20′
Half-time 2–0
54′
🔁 N. Zalewski
↦ F. Dimarco
54′
🔁 Y. Bisseck
↦ B. Pavard
56′
🟨 Nicola Zalewski
62′
🔁 M. Darmian
↦ Y. Bisseck
62′
🔁 Carlos Augusto
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
3–0 D. Doué ⚽
Vitinha
63′
Désiré Doué 🟨
65′
B. Barcola 🔁
↦ D. Doué
67′
69′
🟨 Marcus Thuram
70′
🔁 K. Asllani
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
71′
🟨 Francesco Acerbi
4–0 K. Kvaratskhelia ⚽
O. Dembélé
73′
L. Hernández 🔁
↦ Nuno Mendes
78′
W. Zaïre-Emery 🔁
↦ João Neves
84′
S. Mayulu 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
84′
Gonçalo Ramos 🔁
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
84′
5–0 S. Mayulu ⚽
B. Barcola
86′
Achraf Hakimi 🟨
90′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
87 João Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Doué F
10 O. Dembélé F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (11)
29 B. Barcola
21 L. Hernández
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
24 S. Mayulu
9 Gonçalo Ramos
19 Lee Kang-In
49 I. Mbaye
80 Arnau Tenas
3 P. Kimpembe
39 M. Safonov
35 Beraldo

Coach: Luis Enrique

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 B. Pavard D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
9 M. Thuram F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (12)
59 N. Zalewski
31 Y. Bisseck
36 M. Darmian
30 Carlos Augusto
21 K. Asllani
16 D. Frattesi
8 M. Arnautović
99 M. Taremi
13 Josep Martínez
12 R. Di Gennaro
6 S. de Vrij
7 P. Zieliński

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovács · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.