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Coppa Italia

Referee: K Bonacina

Udinese

U S T T T

2–0

Full-time

Carrarese

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Carrarese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

21 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Pescara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
3	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.