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Premier League

Referee: M Salisbury

Leicester

S U S U T

1–2

Full-time

Southampton

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Southampton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,8

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,8

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

6 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leicester 14. · Southampton 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Liverpool	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Fulham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Everton	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Man United	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Man United	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.