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Premier League
Referee: T Harrington
Brighton
U S S S T
5–2
Full-time
Leicester
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
1,8
3,4
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

54% Possession 46%
23 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 4. · Leicester 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 5 5 0 0 +9 15
2 Man City 6 4 2 0 +14 14
3 Tottenham 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Brighton 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 -1 10
6 Liverpool 6 2 3 1 +9 9
7 Brentford 6 2 3 1 +6 9
8 Man United 5 3 0 2 -2 9
9 Leeds 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Fulham 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Newcastle 6 1 4 1 +1 7
12 Southampton 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Bournemouth 6 2 1 3 -13 7
14 Wolves 6 1 3 2 -1 6
15 Crystal Palace 6 1 3 2 -2 6
16 Everton 6 0 4 2 -2 4
17 Aston Villa 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 West Ham 6 1 1 4 -5 4
19 Nott'm Forest 6 1 1 4 -10 4
20 Leicester 5 0 1 4 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton Leicester
1′
K. Ịheanachọ 0–1
P. Daka
4′
🟨 Luke Thomas
0–2 L. Thomas
own goal
10′
Alexis Mac Allister 🟨
12′
1–2 M. Caicedo
E. Mwepu
15′
33′
P. Daka 1–3
Y. Tielemans
Half-time 1–3
46′
🔁 T. Castagne
↦ H. Barnes
Alexis Mac Allister ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
2–3 L. Trossard
P. Groß
64′
3–3 A. Mac Allister
71′
72′
🔁 J. Vardy
↦ K. Ịheanachọ
72′
🔁 K. Dewsbury-Hall
↦ B. Soumaré
72′
🔁 D. Amartey
↦ Y. Tielemans
D. Undav 🔁
↦ E. Mwepu
84′
P. Estupiñán 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
89′
T. Lamptey 🔁
↦ S. March
93′
B. Gilmour 🔁
↦ M. Caicedo
93′
4–3 A. Mac Allister
97′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Brighton

3-5-2
1 Robert Sánchez G
34 J. Veltman D
5 L. Dunk D
4 A. Webster D
7 S. March M
13 P. Groß M
10 A. Mac Allister M
25 M. Caicedo M
11 L. Trossard M
8 E. Mwepu F
18 D. Welbeck F
Bench (9)
21 D. Undav
30 P. Estupiñán
2 T. Lamptey
27 B. Gilmour
29 J. van Hecke
6 L. Colwill
17 S. Alzate
23 J. Steele
22 K. Mitoma

Coach: G. Potter

Leicester

4-4-2
1 D. Ward G
2 J. Justin D
25 W. Ndidi D
6 J. Evans D
33 L. Thomas D
10 J. Maddison M
42 B. Soumaré M
8 Y. Tielemans M
7 H. Barnes M
14 K. Ịheanachọ F
20 P. Daka F
Bench (9)
27 T. Castagne
9 J. Vardy
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall
18 D. Amartey
24 N. Mendy
31 D. Iversen
11 M. Albrighton
26 D. Praet
17 Ayoze Pérez

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,60
B
4,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Harrington · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.