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League Cup
Referee: S Barrott
0–0
Full-time
Leicester
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stockport County Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
4,3
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
0,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

22% Possession 78%
6 Shots 26
1 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Charlton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Exeter City 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Grimsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Preston 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Gillingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Forest Green 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Peterborough 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Newport County 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Walsall 2 1 0 1 +1 3
17 Bradford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Colchester 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Milton Keynes Dons 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Shrewsbury 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Rochdale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Oxford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Barrow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Luton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Ipswich 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Wigan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Sutton Utd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Salford City 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Crewe 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 -4 0
71 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.