Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Tottenham
Fulham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +14 | 13 |
| 3 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 9 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |
Fulham
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |
Southampton
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Brentford
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Everton
|
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 |
West Ham
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |
Nott'm Forest
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |
Wolves
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 |
Leicester
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
C. Romero
D
E. Dier
D
C. Lenglet
D
R. Bentancur
M
P. Højbjerg
M
R. Sessegnon
M
Richarlison
F
H. Kane
F
Coach: A. Conte
B. Leno
G
K. Tete
D
T. Adarabioyo
D
A. Robinson
D
H. Reed
M
João Palhinha
M
Coach: Marco Silva
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
West Ham
Tottenham
Nott'm Forest
Tottenham
Tottenham
Wolves
Chelsea
Tottenham
Tottenham
Southampton
S Attwell · 153 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.