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Süper Lig

Referee: Yasin Kol

Samsunspor

S T S U S

0–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

4,5

Scored

2,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,46 xG 1,56

58% Possession 42%

6 Shots 15

0 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 5. · Fenerbahce 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	2	1	0	+5	+7.1	7
2	Genclerbirligi	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.2	7
3	Kocaelispor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.9	6
4	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.8	6
5	Samsunspor	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.4	4
6	Trabzonspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
7	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
8	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
9	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.3	4
10	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.9	3
11	Amedspor	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.6	3
12	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
13	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
14	Eyüpspor	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.0	3
15	Corum	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
16	Goztep	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.0	1
17	Erzurumspor	3	0	1	2	-7	-3.8	1
18	Konyaspor	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+1	+4.5	4
2	Genclerbirligi	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
3	Amedspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.3	3
4	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
5	Kocaelispor	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
6	Buyuksehyr	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
7	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
8	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
10	Eyüpspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
11	Samsunspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
12	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
13	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
14	Goztep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
15	Corum	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
16	Konyaspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.8	0
17	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.5	0
18	Erzurumspor	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rizespor	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.3	6
2	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
3	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.5	3
4	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
5	Genclerbirligi	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Kasimpasa	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
7	Kocaelispor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
8	Corum	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
9	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
10	Goztep	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.3	1
11	Alanyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.8	1
12	Erzurumspor	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
13	Fenerbahce	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
14	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
15	Besiktas	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
16	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
17	Konyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
18	Amedspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.