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Süper Lig

Referee: O Cakir

Fenerbahce

S T U S U

3–2

Full-time

Samsunspor

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 46%

63%

29%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

58%

38%

Both score Ø 61%

67%

54%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,28 xG 0,99

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 25

2 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Samsunspor 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	25	19	4	2	+41	+26.6	61
2	Fenerbahce	24	15	9	0	+31	+26.5	54
3	Trabzonspor	24	15	6	3	+20	+5.7	51
4	Besiktas	25	13	7	5	+15	+22.6	46
5	Buyuksehyr	25	12	6	7	+17	+5.5	42
6	Goztep	25	11	9	5	+10	+4.4	42
7	Samsunspor	24	7	11	6	-2	+6.5	32
8	Rizespor	25	7	9	9	-3	+0.7	30
9	Kocaelispor	24	8	6	10	-4	-0.9	30
10	Gaziantep	25	7	9	9	-10	-4.3	30
11	Alanyaspor	24	5	11	8	-4	-9.1	26
12	Genclerbirligi	24	6	6	12	-6	-10.7	24
13	Konyaspor	25	5	9	11	-10	-4.5	24
14	Antalyaspor	25	6	6	13	-15	-18.5	24
15	Eyüpspor	24	5	7	12	-16	-14.9	22
16	Kasimpasa	25	4	9	12	-15	-11.0	21
17	Kayserispor	24	3	11	10	-25	-11.7	20
18	Karagumruk	25	3	5	17	-24	-12.9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	10	3	0	+24	+17.9	33
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	4	0	+14	+18.3	25
3	Trabzonspor	12	7	4	1	+12	+7.3	25
4	Besiktas	13	7	3	3	+8	+13.2	24
5	Goztep	12	6	5	1	+9	+4.1	23
6	Kocaelispor	13	6	3	4	+4	+6.9	21
7	Buyuksehyr	13	5	5	3	+6	-0.9	20
8	Genclerbirligi	12	5	4	3	+3	+2.0	19
9	Rizespor	13	5	2	6	-4	+5.0	17
10	Gaziantep	13	4	4	5	-5	+3.4	16
11	Konyaspor	13	3	6	4	+0	+3.4	15
12	Alanyaspor	12	4	3	5	+0	-3.2	15
13	Samsunspor	12	3	6	3	-3	+5.4	15
14	Eyüpspor	12	3	4	5	-6	-3.9	13
15	Antalyaspor	12	3	3	6	-10	-6.0	12
16	Karagumruk	12	2	3	7	-9	-2.4	9
17	Kayserispor	11	2	3	6	-15	-2.9	9
18	Kasimpasa	12	1	5	6	-9	-0.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	13	8	5	0	+17	+8.2	29
2	Galatasaray	12	9	1	2	+17	+8.6	28
3	Trabzonspor	12	8	2	2	+8	-1.7	26
4	Buyuksehyr	12	7	1	4	+11	+6.4	22
5	Besiktas	12	6	4	2	+7	+9.4	22
6	Goztep	13	5	4	4	+1	+0.2	19
7	Samsunspor	12	4	5	3	+1	+1.0	17
8	Gaziantep	12	3	5	4	-5	-7.7	14
9	Rizespor	12	2	7	3	+1	-4.3	13
10	Kasimpasa	13	3	4	6	-6	-10.2	13
11	Antalyaspor	13	3	3	7	-5	-12.5	12
12	Alanyaspor	12	1	8	3	-4	-5.9	11
13	Kayserispor	13	1	8	4	-10	-8.8	11
14	Kocaelispor	11	2	3	6	-8	-7.8	9
15	Konyaspor	12	2	3	7	-10	-7.9	9
16	Eyüpspor	12	2	3	7	-10	-10.9	9
17	Genclerbirligi	12	1	2	9	-9	-12.8	5
18	Karagumruk	13	1	2	10	-15	-10.4	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.