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Süper Lig

Referee: R Coskunses

Samsunspor

U T S S S

4–1

Full-time

Galatasaray

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 55%

35%

74%

Points per game

1,5

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

52%

68%

Both score Ø 60%

65%

55%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,37 xG 0,89

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

7 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Samsunspor 7. · Galatasaray 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	31	23	5	3	+49	+32.6	74
2	Fenerbahce	31	19	10	2	+35	+30.4	67
3	Trabzonspor	31	19	8	4	+24	+9.7	65
4	Besiktas	32	17	8	7	+20	+26.1	59
5	Buyuksehyr	31	14	9	8	+21	+7.5	51
6	Goztep	31	13	12	6	+12	+8.4	51
7	Samsunspor	31	11	12	8	-2	+6.3	45
8	Rizespor	32	10	10	12	-2	-0.4	40
9	Konyaspor	32	10	10	12	-3	-1.7	40
10	Gaziantep	32	9	10	13	-13	-3.6	37
11	Kocaelispor	31	9	9	13	-10	-2.0	36
12	Alanyaspor	31	6	15	10	-1	-9.4	33
13	Kasimpasa	31	7	10	14	-16	-14.6	31
14	Genclerbirligi	31	7	7	17	-14	-18.6	28
15	Eyüpspor	31	7	7	17	-19	-18.5	28
16	Antalyaspor	31	7	7	17	-21	-23.8	28
17	Kayserispor	31	5	11	15	-34	-14.3	26
18	Karagumruk	31	5	6	20	-26	-14.2	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	12	4	0	+30	+22.5	40
2	Fenerbahce	15	10	5	0	+19	+23.4	35
3	Trabzonspor	15	9	5	1	+14	+7.9	32
4	Besiktas	16	9	4	3	+11	+17.8	31
5	Goztep	16	7	7	2	+9	+9.2	28
6	Buyuksehyr	16	7	6	3	+13	+3.4	27
7	Rizespor	16	8	2	6	+1	+6.5	26
8	Konyaspor	16	6	6	4	+5	+3.6	24
9	Kocaelispor	16	6	5	5	+3	+7.0	23
10	Genclerbirligi	16	6	4	6	-1	-1.1	22
11	Samsunspor	15	5	7	3	-1	+6.1	22
12	Alanyaspor	16	5	5	6	+4	-2.5	20
13	Gaziantep	16	5	5	6	-4	+4.9	20
14	Kasimpasa	15	4	5	6	-5	-0.3	17
15	Eyüpspor	16	4	4	8	-6	-4.4	16
16	Karagumruk	15	4	3	8	-7	-0.7	15
17	Antalyaspor	15	4	3	8	-12	-6.8	15
18	Kayserispor	15	4	3	8	-18	-2.3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	11	1	3	+19	+10.1	34
2	Trabzonspor	16	10	3	3	+10	+1.8	33
3	Fenerbahce	16	9	5	2	+16	+7.0	32
4	Besiktas	16	8	4	4	+9	+8.3	28
5	Buyuksehyr	15	7	3	5	+8	+4.1	24
6	Goztep	15	6	5	4	+3	-0.8	23
7	Samsunspor	16	6	5	5	-1	+0.2	23
8	Gaziantep	16	4	5	7	-9	-8.5	17
9	Konyaspor	16	4	4	8	-8	-5.3	16
10	Rizespor	16	2	8	6	-3	-6.9	14
11	Kasimpasa	16	3	5	8	-11	-14.4	14
12	Alanyaspor	15	1	10	4	-5	-6.9	13
13	Antalyaspor	16	3	4	9	-9	-17.0	13
14	Kocaelispor	15	3	4	8	-13	-9.0	13
15	Eyüpspor	15	3	3	9	-13	-14.1	12
16	Kayserispor	16	1	8	7	-16	-12.0	11
17	Genclerbirligi	15	1	3	11	-13	-17.5	6
18	Karagumruk	16	1	3	12	-19	-13.5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.