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Süper Lig

Referee: U Ozturk

Samsunspor

S S S S T

3–0

Full-time

Goztep

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Goztep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 39%

36%

42%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

55%

39%

Both score Ø 55%

64%

45%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,11 xG 2,20

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 22

9 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

0 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Samsunspor 7. · Goztep 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	33	24	5	4	+48	+35.9	77
2	Fenerbahce	33	21	10	2	+40	+34.2	73
3	Trabzonspor	33	20	9	4	+25	+7.4	69
4	Besiktas	34	17	9	8	+19	+26.6	60
5	Goztep	33	14	13	6	+13	+10.5	55
6	Buyuksehyr	33	15	9	9	+22	+9.3	54
7	Samsunspor	33	12	12	9	-2	+3.8	48
8	Rizespor	34	10	11	13	-6	-0.2	41
9	Konyaspor	33	10	10	13	-6	-4.3	40
10	Alanyaspor	34	7	16	11	+0	-9.5	37
11	Kocaelispor	33	9	10	14	-11	-2.1	37
12	Gaziantep	33	9	10	14	-14	-4.9	37
13	Eyüpspor	33	8	8	17	-15	-18.2	32
14	Kasimpasa	33	7	11	15	-17	-14.3	32
15	Genclerbirligi	33	8	7	18	-14	-17.4	31
16	Karagumruk	34	8	6	20	-23	-14.5	30
17	Antalyaspor	33	7	8	18	-23	-28.4	29
18	Kayserispor	33	5	12	16	-36	-13.9	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	13	4	0	+32	+26.3	43
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	5	0	+21	+24.6	38
3	Trabzonspor	16	9	6	1	+14	+7.2	33
4	Besiktas	17	9	4	4	+10	+19.4	31
5	Goztep	17	8	7	2	+10	+10.5	31
6	Buyuksehyr	17	8	6	3	+16	+6.4	30
7	Rizespor	17	8	3	6	+1	+7.6	27
8	Samsunspor	16	6	7	3	+2	+6.6	25
9	Genclerbirligi	17	7	4	6	+0	-1.2	25
10	Konyaspor	17	6	6	5	+2	+1.1	24
11	Alanyaspor	17	6	5	6	+6	-2.3	23
12	Kocaelispor	17	6	5	6	+2	+7.1	23
13	Karagumruk	17	6	3	8	-5	-1.0	21
14	Gaziantep	16	5	5	6	-4	+4.9	20
15	Eyüpspor	17	5	4	8	-2	-3.5	19
16	Kasimpasa	16	4	6	6	-5	-0.0	18
17	Antalyaspor	16	4	4	8	-12	-7.6	16
18	Kayserispor	16	4	4	8	-18	-1.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	17	11	3	3	+11	+0.3	36
2	Fenerbahce	17	10	5	2	+19	+9.6	35
3	Galatasaray	16	11	1	4	+16	+9.6	34
4	Besiktas	17	8	5	4	+9	+7.2	29
5	Buyuksehyr	16	7	3	6	+6	+2.9	24
6	Goztep	16	6	6	4	+3	-0.0	24
7	Samsunspor	17	6	5	6	-4	-2.8	23
8	Gaziantep	17	4	5	8	-10	-9.8	17
9	Konyaspor	16	4	4	8	-8	-5.3	16
10	Alanyaspor	17	1	11	5	-6	-7.2	14
11	Rizespor	17	2	8	7	-7	-7.8	14
12	Kasimpasa	17	3	5	9	-12	-14.2	14
13	Kocaelispor	16	3	5	8	-13	-9.2	14
14	Antalyaspor	17	3	4	10	-11	-20.8	13
15	Eyüpspor	16	3	4	9	-13	-14.7	13
16	Kayserispor	17	1	8	8	-18	-12.2	11
17	Karagumruk	17	2	3	12	-18	-13.5	9
18	Genclerbirligi	16	1	3	12	-14	-16.2	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.