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Süper Lig

Referee: B Şimşek

Fenerbahce

S U S S S

1–1

Full-time

Samsunspor

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,0

Scored

3,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 58%

85%

30%

Points per game

2,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

65%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,9

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+2,1

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,77 xG 0,27

66% Possession 34%

24 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 1. · Samsunspor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	20	17	2	1	+41	+36.5	53
2	Galatasaray	20	16	3	1	+27	+26.9	51
3	Trabzonspor	20	11	4	5	+13	-1.6	37
4	Besiktas	21	11	2	8	+3	+8.2	35
5	Rizespor	21	9	5	7	-3	-3.8	32
6	Ad. Demirspor	21	7	9	5	+8	-1.1	30
7	Antalyaspor	21	7	9	5	+5	+1.9	30
8	Kayserispor	20	8	5	7	-2	-4.5	29
9	Kasimpasa	21	8	5	8	-4	-7.4	29
10	Buyuksehyr	21	7	6	8	+1	-1.8	27
11	Sivasspor	21	6	8	7	-7	-3.7	26
12	Ankaragücü	21	5	10	6	+1	-3.1	25
13	Alanyaspor	21	6	7	8	-7	+1.2	25
14	Gaziantep	21	6	4	11	-8	-8.3	22
15	Karagumruk	21	5	6	10	-1	-10.3	21
16	Hatayspor	21	4	9	8	-4	+2.5	21
17	Samsunspor	20	6	3	11	-8	+4.9	21
18	Konyaspor	21	4	8	9	-13	-11.8	20
19	Pendikspor	21	4	7	10	-18	-8.5	19
20	İstanbulspor	20	2	4	14	-24	-16.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	10	0	0	+18	+18.2	30
2	Fenerbahce	10	8	1	1	+22	+19.6	25
3	Ad. Demirspor	11	7	3	1	+14	+4.2	24
4	Rizespor	11	7	2	2	+6	+4.5	23
5	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	+6	+1.2	19
6	Besiktas	10	6	1	3	+5	+5.1	19
7	Kayserispor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.6	18
8	Antalyaspor	11	4	6	1	+3	+0.6	18
9	Buyuksehyr	10	5	2	3	+5	-0.2	17
10	Samsunspor	10	5	2	3	+3	+3.7	17
11	Kasimpasa	11	5	2	4	-1	-4.6	17
12	Karagumruk	11	4	4	3	+6	-2.6	16
13	Alanyaspor	11	4	4	3	+1	+3.4	16
14	Hatayspor	10	3	5	2	+2	+1.6	14
15	Ankaragücü	11	3	5	3	+1	+2.1	14
16	Konyaspor	10	3	3	4	+1	+0.3	12
17	Gaziantep	10	3	2	5	-4	-6.1	11
18	Sivasspor	10	1	7	2	-2	+2.4	10
19	Pendikspor	10	2	3	5	-8	-7.2	9
20	İstanbulspor	11	2	2	7	-12	-10.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	10	9	1	0	+19	+16.9	28
2	Galatasaray	10	6	3	1	+9	+8.7	21
3	Trabzonspor	11	5	3	3	+7	-2.7	18
4	Besiktas	11	5	1	5	-2	+3.1	16
5	Sivasspor	11	5	1	5	-5	-6.1	16
6	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	+2	+1.4	12
7	Kasimpasa	10	3	3	4	-3	-2.9	12
8	Ankaragücü	10	2	5	3	+0	-5.2	11
9	Gaziantep	11	3	2	6	-4	-2.3	11
10	Kayserispor	10	3	2	5	-7	-8.1	11
11	Buyuksehyr	11	2	4	5	-4	-1.6	10
12	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	-10	-1.3	10
13	Alanyaspor	10	2	3	5	-8	-2.2	9
14	Rizespor	10	2	3	5	-9	-8.3	9
15	Konyaspor	11	1	5	5	-14	-12.1	8
16	Hatayspor	11	1	4	6	-6	+1.0	7
17	Ad. Demirspor	10	0	6	4	-6	-5.3	6
18	Karagumruk	10	1	2	7	-7	-7.7	5
19	Samsunspor	10	1	1	8	-11	+1.2	4
20	İstanbulspor	9	0	2	7	-12	-6.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.