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Champions League
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Sturm Graz
S S U T S
0–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Aug -26 Fenerbahce – Sturm Graz 2–0

Match report

Sturm Graz Fenerbahce
40′
🟨 Nélson Semedo
45′
🟨 Archie Brown
Half-time 0–0
B. Beganovic 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
61′
J. Heil 🔁
↦ A. Malic
61′
N. Weiper 🔁
↦ A. Kayombo
61′
62′
🔁 M. Muldur
↦ N. Semedo
63′
🔁 Fred
↦ M. Asensio
63′
🔁 O. Aydin
↦ M. Greenwood
66′
⚽ Talisca 0–1
R. Fosso 🔁
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovic
70′
73′
🔁 I. Yuksek
↦ N. Kante
77′
🔁 V. Muriqi
↦ Talisca
P. Koller 🔁
↦ P. Petrovic
79′
Jeyland Mitchell 🟨
84′
89′
🟨 Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-4-2
53 D. Khudyakov G
23 A. Malic D
2 J. Mitchell D
21 P. Petrovic D
18 E. Soglo D
19 S. Seidl M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
39 L. Weinhandl M
43 J. Hodl M
11 A. Kayombo F
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (12)
22 A. Helac
41 E. Lorenz
5 A. Vallci
15 G. Mamageishvili
80 R. Fosso
26 B. Beganovic
28 J. Heil
30 P. Koller
17 S. Wlodarczyk
40 J. Halwachs
44 N. Weiper
27 L. Balbo

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
34 M. Gunok G
27 N. Semedo D
37 M. Skriniar D
15 N. Ake D
3 A. Brown D
6 M. Guendouzi M
91 N. Kante M
11 M. Greenwood M
10 M. Asensio M
9 K. Akturkoglu M
94 Talisca F
Bench (11)
13 T. Cetin
75 K. Sapaz
7 Fred
18 M. Muldur
5 I. Yuksek
14 Y. E. Demir
26 S. Cherif
19 V. Muriqi
4 C. Soyuncu
17 I. Kahveci
70 O. Aydin

Coach: Ismail Kartal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.