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Süper Lig

Referee: M Turkmen

Fenerbahce

S T S U U

3–1

Full-time

Kocaelispor

T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Kocaelispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,2

1,0

Scored

1,7

0,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,67 xG 0,31

57% Possession 43%

21 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 11. · Kocaelispor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Goztep	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.6	7
2	Konyaspor	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.1	6
3	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.9	6
4	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.8	6
5	Antalyaspor	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.6	6
6	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.0	6
7	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
8	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
10	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
11	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
12	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-3	+1.6	1
13	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
14	Genclerbirligi	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
15	Kocaelispor	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.1	0
16	Eyüpspor	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.5	0
17	Karagumruk	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.9	0
18	Gaziantep	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Konyaspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.1	3
2	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
3	Antalyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
4	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
5	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
7	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
8	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
9	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
10	Kocaelispor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
11	Genclerbirligi	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
12	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
13	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
14	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
15	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.6	0
16	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Goztep	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
2	Konyaspor	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
3	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.4	3
4	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
5	Antalyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
6	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
8	Rizespor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
9	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
10	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
11	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
12	Genclerbirligi	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
13	Kocaelispor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
14	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.1	0
15	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.