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Champions League
Referee: S Vincic
Benfica
S S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Fenerbahce
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
4 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -25 Fenerbahce – Benfica 0–0

Match report

Benfica Fenerbahce
Vangelis Pavlidis ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
15′
17′
🔁 C. Soyuncu
↦ N. Semedo
30′
🟨 Sofyan Amrabat
1–0 K. Akturkoglu ⚽
L. Barreiro
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Yuksek
↦ S. Amrabat
65′
🔁 J. Duran
↦ A. Brown
65′
🔁 O. Aydin
↦ M. Muldur
Leandro Barreiro 🟨
69′
F. Ivanovic 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
76′
A. Schjelderup 🔁
↦ K. Akturkoglu
76′
79′
🟨 Anderson Talisca
82′
🟨 Anderson Talisca
82′
🟥 Anderson Talisca
António Silva 🟨
85′
87′
🟨 Çağlar Söyüncü
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
17 A. Dedic D
4 A. Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
26 S. Dahl D
20 R. Rios M
5 E. Barrenechea M
8 F. Aursnes M
18 L. Barreiro M
7 K. Akturkoglu M
14 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (12)
24 S. Soares
3 R. Obrador
9 F. Ivanovic
21 A. Schjelderup
25 G. Prestianni
39 H. Araujo
44 T. Araujo
47 T. Gouveia
64 G. Oliveira
68 J. Veloso
71 L. Santos
86 D. Prioste

Coach: Jose Mourinho

Fenerbahce

3-5-2
40 D. Livakovic G
18 M. Muldur D
37 M. Skriniar D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
27 N. Semedo M
7 Fred M
34 S. Amrabat M
53 S. Szymanski M
33 A. Brown M
94 Talisca F
19 Y. En Nesyri F
Bench (12)
1 I. Egribayat
4 C. Soyuncu
5 I. Yuksek
6 A. Djiku
10 J. Duran
14 Y. E. Demir
17 I. C. Kahveci
20 C. Under
22 L. Mercan
28 B. Elmaz
70 O. Aydin
95 Y. Akcicek

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vincic · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.