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Championship
Referee: Tony Harrington
3–2
Full-time
Bolton
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Bolton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 15. · Bolton 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charlton 3 3 0 0 +3 -2.8 9
2 Wolves 3 2 1 0 +5 +3.9 7
3 Swansea 3 2 1 0 +4 +1.4 7
4 QPR 3 2 1 0 +3 +2.0 7
5 Southampton 3 2 0 1 +5 +4.6 6
6 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 +2 +3.4 6
7 West Brom 3 2 0 1 +1 -1.9 6
8 Millwall 3 2 0 1 +1 +2.3 6
9 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 +1 +1.2 5
10 Watford 3 1 2 0 +1 -1.5 5
11 Blackburn 3 1 1 1 +0 -2.2 4
12 Bolton 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.1 4
13 Bristol City 3 1 1 1 -1 -4.2 4
14 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 +0 +0.8 3
15 Sheffield United 3 0 3 0 +0 -0.5 3
16 Norwich 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.4 3
17 Portsmouth 3 1 0 2 -1 -0.2 3
18 Lincoln 3 1 0 2 -2 -1.1 3
19 West Ham 3 0 2 1 -1 +0.5 2
20 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 -1 +1.6 2
21 Derby 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.6 1
22 Burnley 3 0 1 2 -5 -0.4 1
23 Preston 3 0 0 3 -4 -0.3 0
24 Stoke 3 0 0 3 -6 -3.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Bolton
1′
X. Simons 0–1
1–1 J. Tanganga
S. Peck
4′
39′
🟨 Gaizka Larrazabal
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 L. Brunt
↦ G. Larrazabal
49′
🟨 John McAtee
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ J. Riedewald
61′
T. Cannon 🔁
↦ T. Campbell
61′
O. Arblaster 🔁
↦ S. Peck
62′
67′
S. Dalby 1–2
T. Gale
2–2 P. Bamford
S. McCallum
68′
75′
🔁 R. Rodrigues
↦ J. McAtee
J. Shackleton 🔁
↦ B. Brereton Diaz
80′
81′
🔁 M. Conway
↦ A. Famewo
81′
🔁 J. Nelson
↦ T. Gale
R. Norrington-Davies 🔁
↦ S. McCallum
86′
90′
🔁 E. Erhahon
↦ X. Simons
3–2 R. Donovan
K. Phillips
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sheffield United

4-4-2
1 M. Cooper G
8 H. Choudhury D
5 J. Tanganga D
25 M. McGuinness D
3 S. McCallum D
11 R. Donovan M
42 S. Peck M
44 J. Riedewald M
22 B. Brereton Diaz M
45 P. Bamford F
23 T. Campbell F
Bench (9)
17 A. Davies
2 M. Doherty
33 J. Baptiste
16 J. Shackleton
30 R. Norrington-Davies
4 O. Arblaster
7 J. Rothwell
27 K. Phillips
9 T. Cannon

Coach: Chris Wilder

Bolton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Bonham G
22 G. Larrazabal D
3 C. Forino-Joseph D
6 B. Davies D
14 A. Famewo D
4 X. Simons M
8 J. Sheehan M
16 S. Iling Junior M
45 J. McAtee M
11 T. Gale M
10 S. Dalby F
Bench (9)
31 G. Bazunu
5 L. Brunt
18 E. Toal
25 M. Conway
21 E. Erhahon
26 J. Nelson
39 R. Hardie
20 R. Rodrigues
7 K. Dong

Coach: Steven Schumacher

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,63
U
3,98
B
5,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,03
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tony Harrington · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.