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Premiership

Referee: S McLean

ST Johnstone

T S T T U

2–1

Full-time

Hibernian

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hibernian

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 88%

75%

100%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,49 xG 1,72

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ST Johnstone 9. · Hibernian 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	5	5	0	0	+10	+12.2	15
2	St Mirren	5	3	1	1	+3	+0.8	10
3	Rangers	5	3	1	1	+2	+2.3	10
4	Hearts	4	3	0	1	+6	-0.1	9
5	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.4	8
6	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.9	7
7	Hibernian	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.0	6
8	Dundee United	6	1	2	3	-5	-1.3	5
9	ST Johnstone	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.6	4
10	Aberdeen	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.5	4
11	Falkirk	5	0	2	3	-4	-4.4	2
12	Kilmarnock	5	0	1	4	-10	-8.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+5	+6.2	9
2	Hearts	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.1	6
3	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
4	Dundee	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
5	St Mirren	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
6	Aberdeen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.2	4
7	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
8	Rangers	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
9	Dundee United	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.3	2
10	Hibernian	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.6	0
11	Falkirk	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.6	0
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	-9	-7.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
2	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+5	+6.0	6
3	St Mirren	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.6	6
4	Hibernian	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.3	6
5	Motherwell	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.0	4
6	Hearts	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.2	3
7	Dundee	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.6	3
8	Dundee United	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.0	3
9	Falkirk	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.8	2
10	Kilmarnock	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
11	ST Johnstone	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.