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DFB-Pokal

Referee: R Hartmann

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S T S T

1–5

Full-time

Freiburg

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

5 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 10

0 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 4

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	SSV Jeddeloh	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	MSV Duisburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Lüneburger SK Hansa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
42	Eintracht Trier	1	0	0	1	-6	0
43	Westfalia Rhynern	1	0	0	1	-6	0
44	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
45	Krieschow	1	0	0	1	-9	0
46	SC St. Tönis	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SSV Jeddeloh	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	MSV Duisburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Lüneburger SK Hansa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-4	0
15	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
19	Eintracht Trier	1	0	0	1	-6	0
20	Westfalia Rhynern	1	0	0	1	-6	0
21	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
22	Krieschow	1	0	0	1	-9	0
23	SC St. Tönis	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.