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Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Freiburg

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

80%

Both score Ø 80%

100%

60%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,4

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

17 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 1

4 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 13. · Freiburg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+13	14
2	RB Leipzig	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Schalke 04	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	M'gladbach	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Wolfsburg	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Dortmund	6	3	2	1	+8	11
8	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+7	10
9	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Werder Bremen	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Hoffenheim	6	1	2	3	-6	5
12	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-7	5
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Union Berlin	6	1	1	4	-6	4
15	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	FC Koln	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Mainz	6	1	0	5	-11	3
18	Paderborn	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+9	7
2	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	M'gladbach	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Mainz	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Hertha	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Union Berlin	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Werder Bremen	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-5	3
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Paderborn	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	M'gladbach	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Schalke 04	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Wolfsburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Dortmund	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	FC Koln	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Hoffenheim	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Augsburg	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.