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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Wagner
Magdeburg
T U S S T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
59%
55%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,21 xG 0,89
45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 15. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 29 17 7 5 +16 +12.6 58
2 Paderborn 29 17 6 6 +17 +14.2 57
3 Elversberg 30 16 7 7 +20 +7.2 55
4 Hannover 29 15 8 6 +14 +13.6 53
5 Darmstadt 29 13 11 5 +16 +4.2 50
6 Hertha 29 13 8 8 +9 -4.4 47
7 Kaiserslautern 30 14 4 12 +5 -1.0 46
8 Karlsruhe 30 11 7 12 -9 -20.4 40
9 Nurnberg 29 10 7 12 -2 +0.4 37
10 Bochum 29 9 9 11 +2 +5.0 36
11 Holstein Kiel 30 9 8 13 -4 -10.0 35
12 Dresden 29 8 8 13 +0 +0.1 32
13 Bielefeld 29 8 7 14 -2 +2.2 31
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 29 9 4 16 -18 -5.2 31
15 Magdeburg 29 9 3 17 -9 +7.3 30
16 Braunschweig 29 8 6 15 -18 -1.6 30
17 Greuther Furth 29 8 6 15 -21 -12.3 30
18 Preußen Münster 29 6 10 13 -16 -11.9 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
1–0 L. Ulrich
L. Musonda
2′
2–0 M. Zukowski
B. Atik
16′
Half-time 2–0
Alexander Nollenberger ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
56′
62′
🔁 M. Zimmermann
↦ T. Breithaupt
62′
🔁 Z. Celar
↦ M. Ljubicic
62′
🔁 S. Alexandropoulos
↦ M. Heyer
Mateusz Żukowski 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 K. Sauck
↦ S. Appelkamp
73′
🟨 Anouar El Azzouzi
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ A. Nollenberger
73′
D. Stalmach 🔁
↦ L. Ulrich
75′
76′
🟨 Matthias Zimmermann
88′
🔁 J. Hettwer
↦ S. Suso
89′
🟨 Elias Egouli
A. Holmstrom 🔁
↦ M. Zukowski
89′
R. Tachie 🔁
↦ B. Atik
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Magdeburg

4-3-3
1 D. Reimann G
7 H. Bockhorn D
16 M. Mathisen D
5 T. Muller D
19 L. Musonda D
8 L. Ulrich M
21 F. Michel M
25 S. Gnaka M
17 A. Nollenberger F
22 M. Zukowski F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
40 R. Kampa
11 A. Holmstrom
13 C. Krempicki
27 P. Hercher
18 R. Tachie
24 J. Hugonet
10 N. Pesch
6 D. Stalmach
29 R. Ghrieb

Coach: Petrik Sander

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3-4-1-2
33 F. Kastenmeier G
46 S. Suso D
15 T. Oberdorf D
44 E. Egouli D
5 M. Heyer M
8 A. El Azzouzi M
6 T. Breithaupt M
19 E. Iyoha M
23 S. Appelkamp F
13 C. Itten F
20 M. Ljubicic F
Bench (9)
1 M. Lotka
25 M. Zimmermann
16 S. Tanaka
11 J. Hettwer
27 J. Paulina
9 Z. Celar
2 J. Daland
14 S. Alexandropoulos
29 K. Sauck

Coach: Alexander Ende

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,73
B
3,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,48
U2,5 ✓
2,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.