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Bundesliga

Referee: Harm Osmers

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S U T T

2–0

Full-time

Freiburg

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 22%

14%

29%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

71%

50%

Both score Ø 61%

57%

64%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

2,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

21 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 18. · Freiburg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	14	11	3	0	+25	36
2	M'gladbach	14	9	2	3	+17	29
3	Bayern Munich	14	8	3	3	+10	27
4	RB Leipzig	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	2	5	+13	23
6	Hertha	14	6	5	3	+2	23
7	Hoffenheim	14	6	4	4	+9	22
8	Wolfsburg	15	6	4	5	+2	22
9	Werder Bremen	14	6	3	5	+1	21
10	Mainz	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Leverkusen	14	5	3	6	-5	18
12	Freiburg	14	4	5	5	-3	17
13	Schalke 04	14	4	2	8	-5	14
14	Augsburg	14	3	4	7	-3	13
15	Stuttgart	14	3	2	9	-20	11
16	Nurnberg	15	2	5	8	-21	11
17	Hannover	14	2	4	8	-13	10
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	2	3	9	-18	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	7	7	0	0	+18	21
2	Dortmund	7	6	1	0	+16	19
3	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+14	17
4	Hertha	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Bayern Munich	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Freiburg	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Mainz	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Hoffenheim	7	3	2	2	+5	11
9	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+10	10
11	Leverkusen	7	3	1	3	-3	10
12	Schalke 04	7	3	0	4	-1	9
13	Nurnberg	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Wolfsburg	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Hannover	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Stuttgart	6	2	1	3	-8	7
17	Augsburg	6	1	3	2	+0	6
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	0	5	-4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+9	17
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	0	2	+6	15
3	Wolfsburg	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	+3	13
5	Hoffenheim	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Werder Bremen	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Hertha	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	M'gladbach	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Leverkusen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	RB Leipzig	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Augsburg	8	2	1	5	-3	7
12	Mainz	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Schalke 04	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Freiburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Stuttgart	8	1	1	6	-12	4
16	Hannover	8	0	3	5	-11	3
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	0	3	4	-14	3
18	Nurnberg	7	0	2	5	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.