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LaLiga2

Referee: Olatz Rivera Olmedo

Celta B

U S

1–2

Full-time

Castellon

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta B Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

0,5

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

12 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta B 10. · Castellon 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Granada	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.1	7
2	Leganes	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.0	7
3	Sp Gijon	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.0	7
4	Mallorca	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.5	6
5	Tenerife	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.8	6
6	Las Palmas	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.8	6
7	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.4	6
8	Sabadell	3	1	2	0	+1	+3.5	5
9	Girona	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.9	4
10	Celta B	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.2	4
11	Castellon	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
12	Burgos	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
13	Sociedad B	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.0	4
14	Oviedo	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.1	4
15	Andorra	3	1	0	2	+1	+4.6	3
16	Almeria	3	1	0	2	+1	-1.3	3
17	Cadiz	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.4	3
18	Cordoba	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.0	3
19	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.6	1
20	Eldense	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.9	1
21	Albacete	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.4	0
22	Ceuta	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.5	6
2	Girona	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.4	4
3	Burgos	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
4	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
5	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+3	+3.4	3
6	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
7	Celta B	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.2	3
8	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
9	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
10	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
11	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
12	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
13	Cordoba	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
14	Eibar	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.0	3
15	Cadiz	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.1	2
16	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
17	Castellon	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
18	Oviedo	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.7	1
19	Sociedad B	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
20	Albacete	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.0	0
21	Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
2	Sociedad B	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
3	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.6	4
4	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
5	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
8	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
9	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
10	Sabadell	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.4	2
11	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
12	Celta B	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
13	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.6	1
14	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
15	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
16	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
17	Burgos	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
18	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.2	0
19	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
20	Almeria	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.3	0
21	Eldense	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.6	0
22	Ceuta	2	0	0	2	-7	-5.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.