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LaLiga2
Referee: Eder Mallo
Castellon
U S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Tenerife
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Tenerife
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 15. · Tenerife 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 7 4 2 1 +5 14
2 Santander 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Zaragoza 7 4 1 2 +7 13
4 Burgos 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 Huesca 7 4 0 3 +4 12
6 Eibar 6 3 3 0 +3 12
7 Mirandes 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 Eldense 7 3 2 2 +0 11
9 Elche 7 3 1 3 +1 10
10 Malaga 7 2 4 1 -1 10
11 Sp Gijon 7 2 3 2 +1 9
12 Albacete 7 3 0 4 -2 9
13 Cadiz 7 2 3 2 -2 9
14 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 -2 8
15 Castellon 6 2 1 3 +1 7
16 La Coruna 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Granada 6 1 3 2 -2 6
18 Almeria 7 1 3 3 -5 6
19 Cordoba 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Cartagena 6 1 0 5 -5 3
21 Ferrol 6 0 3 3 -5 3
22 Tenerife 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Tenerife
1–0 Raúl Sánchez
20′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Y. Diarra
↦ Y. Bodiger
46′
🔁 M. Moreno
↦ Waldo Rubio
46′
🔁 Ángel Rodríguez
↦ Yanis Senhadji
52′
🟨 Salvi
Thomas Van den Belt 🟨
61′
63′
Ángel Rodríguez 1–1
Israel Suero 🔁
↦ Douglas Aurélio
65′
66′
🟨 Sergio González
J. Willems 🔁
↦ J. Vertrouwd
66′
2–1 J. Willems
Raúl Sánchez
71′
73′
🔁 Dani Fernández
↦ Teto
81′
🔁 Aarón
↦ Sergio González
Dani Villahermosa 🔁
↦ Cala
83′
Óscar Gil 🔁
↦ Alberto Jiménez
86′
D. Flakus Bosilj 🔁
↦ De Miguel
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Castellon

3-5-2
1 G. Crettaz G
22 D. Chirino D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
8 K. Mamah M
6 T. van den Belt M
21 Cala M
7 Sergio Moyita M
10 Raúl Sánchez M
11 Douglas Aurélio F
9 De Miguel F
Bench (12)
4 Israel Suero
15 J. Willems
19 Dani Villahermosa
14 Óscar Gil
12 D. Flakus Bosilj
23 Josep Calavera
13 A. Abedzadeh
16 B. Cipenga
20 M. Seuntjens
27 José Albert
46 Peré
30 B. Schwake

Coach: D. Schreuder

Tenerife

4-4-2
1 Salvi Carrasco G
2 David Rodríguez D
23 Juande Rivas D
4 José León D
22 J. Mellot D
11 Luismi Cruz M
5 Sergio González M
15 Y. Bodiger M
17 Waldo Rubio M
21 Teto F
34 Yanis Senhadji F
Bench (12)
8 Y. Diarra
10 M. Moreno
9 Ángel Rodríguez
32 Dani Fernández
33 Aarón
24 Josep Gayá
13 Tomeu Nadal
41 Moha Ramos
12 Rubén Alves
29 César Álvarez
3 Fernando Medrano
18 Enric Gallego

Coach: Pepe Mel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,67
B
4,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eder Mallo · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.