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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Jaroslaw Przybyl
Gornik Zabrze
S U S T T
2–3
Full-time
GKS Katowice
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze GKS Katowice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,50 xG 1,56
63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 3. · GKS Katowice 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Legia 6 3 3 0 +8 +3.8 12
2 Wisla 6 3 1 2 +2 +4.3 10
3 Gornik Zabrze 3 3 0 0 +4 -1.7 9
4 Jagiellonia 4 3 0 1 +3 +2.4 9
5 Pogon Szczecin 5 2 2 1 +3 -1.1 8
6 Korona Kielce 5 2 2 1 +2 -1.7 8
7 Zaglebie 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.6 8
8 Cracovia 6 2 2 2 -1 +3.2 8
9 Lech Poznan 3 2 1 0 +4 +2.3 7
10 Piast Gliwice 6 2 1 3 -3 -3.6 7
11 Radomiak Radom 6 2 1 3 -7 -3.0 7
12 GKS Katowice 4 2 0 2 +5 -1.0 6
13 Widzew Lodz 5 1 3 1 +1 +1.0 6
14 Slask Wroclaw 6 1 3 2 -1 -0.6 6
15 Motor Lublin 6 1 2 3 -4 -0.3 5
16 Wisla Plock 5 1 1 3 -7 -0.9 4
17 Wieczysta Krakow 5 1 0 4 -4 -0.9 3
18 Rakow 4 0 0 4 -6 -2.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze GKS Katowice
11′
I. Shkurin 0–1
40′
🔁 M. Wdowiak
↦ B. Galan
Half-time 0–1
46′
ℹ️ Erik Jirka
VAR: Goal cancelled
J. Antiste 🔁
↦ P. Bernardo
59′
J. Kubicki 🔁
↦ L. Sadilek
60′
73′
🟨 Arkadiusz Jędrych
1–1 K. Urbanski
75′
2–1 Josema
R. Janicki
76′
M. Dietz 🔁
↦ E. Prekop
84′
89′
🔁 S. Bartlewicz
↦ E. Jirka
89′
🔁 M. Wasielewski
↦ E. Markovic
90′
I. Shkurin 2–2
B. Nowak
90′
I. Shkurin 2–3
A. Czerwinski
Y. Ikia Dimi 🔁
↦ Peter Federico
95′
97′
🔁 A. Czerwinski
↦ L. Klemenz
97′
🔁 K. Lukasiak
↦ B. Wolski
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-3-3
1 P. Schulze G
61 M. Sacek D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janza D
18 L. Sadilek M
82 K. Urbanski M
8 P. Bernardo M
19 Peter Federico F
11 E. Prekop F
33 M. Khlan F
Bench (11)
99 T. Loska
21 O. Zmrzly
2 P. Warczak
66 M. Dietz
3 M. Synos
14 J. Kubicki
28 B. Donio
23 S. Liseth
9 J. Antiste
34 B. Durdov
7 Y. Ikia Dimi

Coach: Michal Gasparik

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
87 G. Kobylak G
6 L. Klemenz D
4 A. Jedrych D
55 P. Resta D
97 E. Jirka M
68 B. Wolski M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
8 B. Galan M
15 E. Markovic F
17 I. Shkurin F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (10)
1 M. Kikolski
30 A. Czerwinski
14 M. Olsen
10 M. Wedrychowski
31 S. Bartlewicz
7 M. Wdowiak
22 S. Milewski
23 M. Wasielewski
19 K. Lukasiak
21 J. Kokosinski

Coach: Rafal Gorak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jaroslaw Przybyl · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.