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Puchar Polski
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
0–4
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GKS Katowice Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Polonia Warszawa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Garbarnia Kraków 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Stal Brzeg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Carina Gubin 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 +1 3
16 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
17 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 LKS Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Legia Warszawa II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Warta Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
32 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 KSZO 1929 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
55 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
56 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.