Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +2.6 | 6 |
| 2 |
Jagiellonia
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | -0.8 | 6 |
| 3 |
Wisla
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +3.4 | 6 |
| 4 |
Lech Poznan
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +0.5 | 4 |
| 5 |
Wisla Plock
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | -1.0 | 4 |
| 6 |
GKS Katowice
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -0.3 | 3 |
| 7 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -2.1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.9 | 3 |
| 9 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -0.6 | 3 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -0.3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Piast Gliwice
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -2.0 | 3 |
| 12 |
Radomiak Radom
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.8 | 3 |
| 13 |
Widzew Lodz
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | +1.4 | 2 |
| 14 |
Motor Lublin
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.0 | 1 |
| 15 |
Cracovia
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | +0.3 | 1 |
| 16 |
Korona Kielce
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.4 | 0 |
| 17 |
Rakow
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +2.1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Wieczysta Krakow
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Majchrowicz
G
Zie Ouattara
D
K. Szczesniak
D
A. Dieguez
D
Conrado
D
I. Camara
M
J. Grzesik
M
R. Wolski
M
Luquinhas
M
C. Nunnely
M
F. Goure
F
Coach: Tomasz Kaczmarek
P. Schulze
G
M. Sacek
D
R. Janicki
D
P. Bochniewicz
D
O. Zmrzly
D
M. Dietz
M
Peter Federico
M
K. Urbanski
M
P. Bernardo
M
M. Khlan
M
S. Liseth
F
Coach: Michal Gasparik
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
GKS Katowice
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
Wieczysta Krakow
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
Cracovia
Radomiak Radom
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.