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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Marcin Kochanek
1–3
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,02 xG 2,28
46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 10
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Radomiak Radom 12. · Gornik Zabrze 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Legia 2 2 0 0 +3 +2.6 6
2 Jagiellonia 2 2 0 0 +2 -0.8 6
3 Wisla 3 2 0 1 +1 +3.4 6
4 Lech Poznan 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.5 4
5 Wisla Plock 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.0 4
6 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.3 3
7 Pogon Szczecin 2 1 0 1 +1 -2.1 3
8 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.9 3
9 Slask Wroclaw 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.6 3
10 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.3 3
11 Piast Gliwice 2 1 0 1 -1 -2.0 3
12 Radomiak Radom 2 1 0 1 -1 -0.8 3
13 Widzew Lodz 2 0 2 0 +0 +1.4 2
14 Motor Lublin 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.0 1
15 Cracovia 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.3 1
16 Korona Kielce 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
17 Rakow 2 0 0 2 -2 +2.1 0
18 Wieczysta Krakow 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Radomiak Radom Gornik Zabrze
28′
Peter Federico 0–1
Ibrahima Camará 🟨
43′
45′
K. Urbanski 0–2
Half-time 0–2
A. Tapsoba 🔁
↦ F. Goure
46′
R. Lumungo 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
46′
Conrado Buchanelli 🟨
47′
Adrián Diéguez 🟨
56′
58′
🟨 Peter González
60′
🟨 Maximilian Dietz
64′
Peter Federico 0–3
65′
🟨 Philipp Schulze
1–3 R. Wolski
67′
Abdoul Tapsoba 🟨
70′
70′
🔁 L. Sadilek
↦ P. Bernardo
70′
🔁 B. Donio
↦ M. Dietz
70′
🔁 T. Ismaheel
↦ Peter Federico
71′
🟨 Sondre Liseth
F. Koperski 🔁
↦ A. Dieguez
74′
Manu 🔁
↦ Zie Ouattara
74′
80′
🔁 Y. Ikia Dimi
↦ M. Khlan
K. Karasek 🔁
↦ I. Camara
85′
89′
🔁 E. Prekop
↦ S. Liseth
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

4-1-4-1
1 F. Majchrowicz G
24 Zie Ouattara D
3 K. Szczesniak D
26 A. Dieguez D
97 Conrado D
8 I. Camara M
13 J. Grzesik M
27 R. Wolski M
82 Luquinhas M
7 C. Nunnely M
11 F. Goure F
Bench (11)
99 B. Gradecki
28 R. Baro
5 J. Blasco
77 C. Donis
15 A. Tapsoba
23 K. Karasek
90 R. Lumungo
72 F. Koperski
18 Manu
47 S. Kilianek
17 A. Zabicki

Coach: Tomasz Kaczmarek

Gornik Zabrze

4-1-4-1
1 P. Schulze G
61 M. Sacek D
26 R. Janicki D
4 P. Bochniewicz D
21 O. Zmrzly D
66 M. Dietz M
19 Peter Federico M
82 K. Urbanski M
8 P. Bernardo M
33 M. Khlan M
23 S. Liseth F
Bench (11)
99 T. Loska
18 L. Sadilek
20 Josema
11 E. Prekop
34 B. Durdov
28 B. Donio
64 E. Janza
15 R. Massimo
2 P. Warczak
88 T. Ismaheel
7 Y. Ikia Dimi

Coach: Michal Gasparik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.