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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Gornik Zabrze

S U T S U

2–1

Full-time

Wisla

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Wisla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,3

Scored

2,5

2,3

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,60 xG 1,69

36% Possession 64%

9 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 4. · Wisla 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	4	3	1	0	+8	+3.9	10
2	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.3	7
3	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.8	6
4	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.6	6
5	Wisla	3	2	0	1	+1	+3.4	6
6	Zaglebie	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.6	6
7	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.8	6
8	Widzew Lodz	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.6	5
9	Cracovia	4	1	2	1	-1	+3.0	5
10	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.5	4
11	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
12	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
13	Motor Lublin	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.5	4
14	GKS Katowice	3	1	0	2	+0	-2.2	3
15	Wieczysta Krakow	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.5	3
16	Piast Gliwice	4	1	0	3	-5	-4.3	3
17	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-8	-2.4	3
18	Rakow	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.0	6
2	Zaglebie	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.0	6
3	Wisla	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.8	6
4	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
5	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.3	4
6	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
7	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
8	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
9	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
10	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.0	3
11	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	3
12	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.1	3
13	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
14	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Wisla Plock	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
16	Widzew Lodz	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.4	1
17	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
18	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
2	Legia	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
3	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
6	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Wieczysta Krakow	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
8	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
9	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
10	Cracovia	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
11	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.5	1
12	Wisla	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.6	0
13	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0
14	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.2	0
15	GKS Katowice	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.4	0
16	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0
18	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.