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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
GKS Katowice
U T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GKS Katowice Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
36%
48%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,49 xG 2,76
41% Possession 59%
16 Shots 25
4 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 9
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match GKS Katowice 10. · Gornik Zabrze 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Rakow 25 15 7 3 +21 +10.6 52
2 Jagiellonia 26 15 6 5 +16 +2.5 51
3 Lech Poznan 26 16 2 8 +24 +9.1 50
4 Pogon Szczecin 26 13 5 8 +13 +10.6 44
5 Legia 26 11 8 7 +13 +9.9 41
6 Cracovia 26 11 8 7 +7 -4.2 41
7 Gornik Zabrze 25 12 4 9 +7 +3.9 40
8 Motor Lublin 26 11 6 9 -6 -0.2 39
9 Radomiak Radom 26 10 4 12 -3 +0.6 34
10 GKS Katowice 25 9 6 10 +2 +2.7 33
11 Piast Gliwice 26 8 9 9 -2 -2.5 33
12 Widzew Lodz 26 9 6 11 -9 -5.2 33
13 Korona Kielce 26 8 9 9 -9 -1.3 33
14 Puszcza 26 6 7 13 -13 -13.7 25
15 Lechia Gdansk 26 6 6 14 -17 -15.3 24
16 Stal Mielec 26 6 5 15 -15 +0.7 23
17 Zaglebie 25 6 5 14 -17 -7.3 23
18 Slask Wroclaw 26 4 9 13 -12 -1.1 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

GKS Katowice Gornik Zabrze
27′
🟨 Lukas Podolski
0–1 P. Olkowski
own goal
38′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 O. Sow
↦ P. Olkowski
51′
L. Zahović 0–2
Ł. Podolski
D. Drachal 🔁
↦ A. Błąd
78′
F. Szymczak 🔁
↦ S. Bergier
78′
78′
🔁 Josema
↦ M. Kmeť
Arkadiusz Jędrych 🟨
80′
K. Gruszkowski 🔁
↦ Borja Galán
80′
87′
🔁 S. Bakış
↦ L. Zahović
M. Marzec 🔁
↦ M. Wasielewski
89′
1–2 F. Szymczak 1
M. Kowalczyk
101′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
1 D. Kudła G
30 A. Czerwiński D
4 A. Jędrych D
6 L. Klemenz D
23 M. Wasielewski M
5 O. Repka M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
8 Borja Galán M
11 A. Błąd F
7 S. Bergier F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (9)
18 D. Drachal
19 F. Szymczak
24 K. Gruszkowski
17 M. Marzec
14 A. Komor
2 M. Kuusk
22 S. Milewski
10 M. Mak
32 R. Strączek

Coach: R. Górak

Gornik Zabrze

4-4-2
1 F. Majchrowicz G
81 M. Kmeť D
5 K. Szcześniak D
26 R. Janicki D
64 E. Janža D
16 P. Olkowski M
8 P. Hellebrand M
21 D. Sarapata M
88 Y. Furukawa M
7 L. Zahović F
10 Ł. Podolski F
Bench (9)
30 O. Sow
20 Josema
9 S. Bakış
80 M. Marsenić
14 A. Tobolik
27 D. Szala
44 A. Buksa
18 L. Ambros
25 M. Szromnik

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Kwiatkowski · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.