Allsvenskan
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Oster
Halmstad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mjallby
|
25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | +28 | +3.1 | 60 |
| 2 |
Hammarby
|
25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | +24 | +16.7 | 49 |
| 3 |
AIK
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | +8 | +6.7 | 44 |
| 4 |
Goteborg
|
25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | +6 | +3.9 | 44 |
| 5 |
Malmo FF
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +16 | +14.5 | 42 |
| 6 |
GAIS
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +12 | +11.6 | 42 |
| 7 |
Djurgarden
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +15 | +6.0 | 41 |
| 8 |
Elfsborg
|
25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | +2 | +0.2 | 37 |
| 9 |
Brommapojkarna
|
25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | -1 | -3.0 | 29 |
| 10 |
Hacken
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -9 | +3.3 | 29 |
| 11 |
Norrkoping
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -10 | -9.5 | 29 |
| 12 |
Halmstad
|
25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | -23 | -12.8 | 28 |
| 13 |
Sirius
|
25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -9 | -1.0 | 26 |
| 14 |
Oster
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -15 | -14.7 | 22 |
| 15 |
Degerfors
|
25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -21 | -6.6 | 22 |
| 16 |
Varnamo
|
25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | -23 | -18.3 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Oster
Goteborg
Mjallby
Oster
Oster
Varnamo
Räppe
Oster
Hammarby
Oster
Adam Ladeback · 38 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.