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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adi Aganovic

Djurgarden

U S S U S

8–2

Full-time

Sirius

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

2,3

2,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

42%

29%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

29%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

42%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

1,36 xG 1,52

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 23

9 Shots on target 11

4 Blocked shots 5

9 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Djurgarden 7. · Sirius 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	25	18	6	1	+28	+3.1	60
2	Hammarby	25	15	4	6	+24	+16.7	49
3	AIK	25	12	8	5	+8	+6.7	44
4	Malmo FF	25	11	9	5	+16	+14.5	42
5	GAIS	25	11	9	5	+12	+11.6	42
6	Goteborg	24	13	2	9	+4	+0.8	41
7	Djurgarden	24	10	8	6	+9	+6.1	38
8	Elfsborg	25	11	4	10	+2	+0.2	37
9	Brommapojkarna	25	9	2	14	-1	-3.0	29
10	Hacken	25	8	5	12	-9	+3.3	29
11	Norrkoping	25	8	5	12	-10	-9.5	29
12	Halmstad	25	8	4	13	-23	-12.8	28
13	Sirius	24	7	5	12	-3	-1.2	26
14	Oster	24	5	7	12	-13	-11.6	22
15	Degerfors	25	6	4	15	-21	-6.6	22
16	Varnamo	25	2	6	17	-23	-18.3	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	13	10	1	2	+20	+14.2	31
2	Mjallby	12	8	4	0	+13	+4.6	28
3	AIK	12	7	5	0	+12	+4.9	26
4	Malmo FF	13	6	4	3	+8	+10.6	22
5	GAIS	12	6	3	3	+6	+7.5	21
6	Elfsborg	13	6	3	4	+5	+1.1	21
7	Goteborg	12	6	1	5	+4	+3.3	19
8	Djurgarden	12	4	6	2	+4	+5.5	18
9	Halmstad	13	5	2	6	-10	-5.6	17
10	Norrkoping	13	5	1	7	-5	-1.3	16
11	Sirius	12	4	2	6	+0	+2.0	14
12	Hacken	13	4	2	7	-6	+5.7	14
13	Brommapojkarna	12	4	0	8	-3	-0.4	12
14	Varnamo	13	2	4	7	-9	-7.8	10
15	Oster	11	2	3	6	-6	-3.0	9
16	Degerfors	12	1	3	8	-14	-1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	13	10	2	1	+15	-1.6	32
2	Goteborg	12	7	1	4	+0	-2.6	22
3	GAIS	13	5	6	2	+6	+4.1	21
4	Malmo FF	12	5	5	2	+8	+3.9	20
5	Djurgarden	12	6	2	4	+5	+0.6	20
6	Hammarby	12	5	3	4	+4	+2.6	18
7	AIK	13	5	3	5	-4	+1.9	18
8	Brommapojkarna	13	5	2	6	+2	-2.6	17
9	Elfsborg	12	5	1	6	-3	-0.9	16
10	Degerfors	13	5	1	7	-7	-5.6	16
11	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.4	15
12	Norrkoping	12	3	4	5	-5	-8.3	13
13	Oster	13	3	4	6	-7	-8.6	13
14	Sirius	12	3	3	6	-3	-3.1	12
15	Halmstad	12	3	2	7	-13	-7.2	11
16	Varnamo	12	0	2	10	-14	-10.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.