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Allsvenskan

Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim

GAIS

S T S U S

3–2

Full-time

Djurgarden

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Djurgarden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,2

3,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 44%

46%

42%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

46%

31%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,50 xG 1,46

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 4. · Djurgarden 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	26	19	6	1	+30	+5.1	63
2	Hammarby	26	16	4	6	+25	+18.3	52
3	Malmo FF	27	12	9	6	+14	+14.5	45
4	GAIS	26	12	9	5	+13	+14.0	45
5	AIK	26	12	8	6	+7	+7.2	44
6	Goteborg	26	14	2	10	+5	+2.4	44
7	Djurgarden	26	11	9	6	+15	+5.9	42
8	Elfsborg	26	11	4	11	+0	-1.9	37
9	Hacken	27	9	6	12	-7	+3.5	33
10	Sirius	27	8	6	13	-5	-0.9	30
11	Brommapojkarna	26	9	2	15	-3	-3.2	29
12	Norrkoping	27	8	5	14	-13	-12.0	29
13	Halmstad	26	8	4	14	-26	-12.8	28
14	Oster	26	6	7	13	-12	-14.7	25
15	Degerfors	26	6	5	15	-21	-6.6	23
16	Varnamo	26	3	6	17	-22	-18.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	13	10	1	2	+20	+14.2	31
2	Mjallby	13	9	4	0	+15	+6.7	31
3	AIK	13	7	5	1	+11	+5.4	26
4	GAIS	13	7	3	3	+7	+9.9	24
5	Malmo FF	13	6	4	3	+8	+10.6	22
6	Djurgarden	13	5	6	2	+10	+5.3	21
7	Elfsborg	13	6	3	4	+5	+1.1	21
8	Goteborg	13	6	1	6	+3	+1.8	19
9	Sirius	13	5	2	6	+4	+2.0	17
10	Halmstad	13	5	2	6	-10	-5.6	17
11	Norrkoping	14	5	1	8	-7	-1.3	16
12	Hacken	14	4	3	7	-6	+5.7	15
13	Brommapojkarna	13	4	0	9	-5	-0.6	12
14	Oster	13	3	3	7	-5	-6.2	12
15	Varnamo	13	2	4	7	-9	-7.8	10
16	Degerfors	13	1	4	8	-14	-1.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	13	10	2	1	+15	-1.6	32
2	Goteborg	13	8	1	4	+2	+0.6	25
3	Malmo FF	14	6	5	3	+6	+4.0	23
4	GAIS	13	5	6	2	+6	+4.1	21
5	Hammarby	13	6	3	4	+5	+4.1	21
6	Djurgarden	13	6	3	4	+5	+0.6	21
7	Hacken	13	5	3	5	-1	-2.2	18
8	AIK	13	5	3	5	-4	+1.9	18
9	Brommapojkarna	13	5	2	6	+2	-2.6	17
10	Elfsborg	13	5	1	7	-5	-3.0	16
11	Degerfors	13	5	1	7	-7	-5.6	16
12	Norrkoping	13	3	4	6	-6	-10.6	13
13	Oster	13	3	4	6	-7	-8.6	13
14	Sirius	14	3	4	7	-9	-3.0	13
15	Halmstad	13	3	2	8	-16	-7.2	11
16	Varnamo	13	1	2	10	-13	-11.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.