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Allsvenskan
Referee: Richard Sundell
Norrkoping
T T S U T
0–2
Full-time
Hammarby
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 48%
28%
67%
Points per game
1,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
61%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,46 xG 0,81
37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 10
1 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norrkoping 11. · Hammarby 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 19 14 4 1 +23 +2.5 46
2 Hammarby 18 12 3 3 +18 +12.5 39
3 Elfsborg 18 11 2 5 +10 +1.7 35
4 AIK 19 9 7 3 +8 +4.6 34
5 Malmo FF 19 9 6 4 +12 +11.6 33
6 GAIS 18 8 8 2 +14 +8.1 32
7 Goteborg 18 9 1 8 +1 +3.5 28
8 Djurgarden 19 7 6 6 +3 +4.2 27
9 Hacken 19 6 5 8 -7 +2.2 23
10 Brommapojkarna 18 7 1 10 +0 -0.5 22
11 Norrkoping 18 5 4 9 -6 -10.3 19
12 Halmstad 19 5 3 11 -21 -13.1 18
13 Sirius 19 4 5 10 -7 -2.7 17
14 Degerfors 19 4 3 12 -21 -3.7 15
15 Oster 18 3 5 10 -11 -10.9 14
16 Varnamo 18 1 5 12 -16 -9.5 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norrkoping Hammarby
Kevin Höög Jansson 🟨
18′
Ísak Andri Sigurgeirsson 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
51′
N. Besara 0–1
Moutaz Neffati 🟨
52′
64′
I. Fofana 0–2
I. Lushaku 🔁
↦ D. Karlsson
65′
J. Arnarsson 🔁
↦ A. Andersson
65′
80′
🔁 S. Strand
↦ S. Tounekti
A. Fransson 🔁
↦ M. Neffati
84′
86′
🔁 J. Erabi
↦ P. Abraham
86′
🔁 J. Karlsson
↦ M. Madjed
86′
🔁 J. Ortmark
↦ N. Besara
89′
🟨 Ibrahima Fofana
Alexander Fransson 🟨
91′
93′
🔁 A. Lahdo
↦ T. Tekie
Ismet Lushaku 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Norrkoping

4-4-2
40 D. Andersson G
37 M. Neffati D
4 A. Sogaard D
19 M. Watson D
3 M. Baggesen D
28 A. Andersson M
25 K. Jansson M
9 A. Traustason M
8 I. Sigurgeirsson M
10 D. Karlsson F
5 C. Nyman F
Bench (9)
30 T. Krantz
7 A. Fransson
11 I. Lushaku
14 Y. Kalley
18 J. Arnarsson
20 A. Bronner
24 A. Eriksson
31 J. Lindvall
36 M. Rawufu

Coach: Martin Falk

Hammarby

4-4-2
1 W. Hahn G
17 I. Fofana D
4 V. Eriksson D
6 P. Vagic D
19 S. Pinas D
26 M. Madjed M
8 M. Karlsson M
5 T. Tekie M
18 S. Tounekti M
7 P. Abraham F
20 N. Besara F
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
2 H. Skoglund
3 F. Winther
9 J. Erabi
13 J. Karlsson
15 A. Lahdo
21 S. Strand
22 J. Ortmark
28 F. Junior Adjei

Coach: Kim Alexander Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Richard Sundell · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.