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Superligaen

Referee: L Graagaard

Aarhus

U T T T T

1–3

Full-time

Randers FC

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Randers FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,5

4,3

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

2,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 38%

34%

41%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

52%

59%

Both score Ø 69%

69%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,49 xG 1,45

47% Possession 53%

17 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

4 Corners 5

11 Free kicks against 13

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 8. · Randers FC 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	29	16	8	5	+20	+11.6	56
2	Midtjylland	29	17	4	8	+20	+6.9	55
3	Brondby	30	12	12	6	+12	+8.0	48
4	Silkeborg	30	12	10	8	+15	+6.8	46
5	Randers FC	29	12	9	8	+10	+8.1	45
6	Nordsjaelland	30	12	7	11	-2	+7.2	43
7	Viborg	29	10	11	8	+5	-4.5	41
8	Aarhus	29	10	10	9	+12	+8.7	40
9	Sonderjyske	30	8	7	15	-22	-15.1	31
10	Lyngby	29	4	12	13	-13	-5.0	24
11	Aalborg	29	5	9	15	-28	-20.4	24
12	Vejle	29	5	7	17	-29	-12.3	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	13	0	2	+18	+7.5	39
2	Nordsjaelland	15	9	5	1	+15	+7.4	32
3	FC Copenhagen	14	9	4	1	+13	+10.2	31
4	Randers FC	15	8	4	3	+11	+7.3	28
5	Aarhus	14	7	6	1	+16	+9.8	27
6	Brondby	15	7	6	2	+7	+6.1	27
7	Viborg	14	8	3	3	+5	-4.2	27
8	Silkeborg	15	7	5	3	+8	+3.3	26
9	Sonderjyske	15	4	5	6	-12	-11.3	17
10	Lyngby	15	3	6	6	-6	+0.6	15
11	Aalborg	15	3	4	8	-15	-10.4	13
12	Vejle	14	2	5	7	-14	-2.7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	15	7	4	4	+7	+1.4	25
2	Brondby	15	5	6	4	+5	+1.9	21
3	Silkeborg	15	5	5	5	+7	+3.4	20
4	Randers FC	14	4	5	5	-1	+0.8	17
5	Midtjylland	14	4	4	6	+2	-0.6	16
6	Viborg	15	2	8	5	+0	-0.3	14
7	Sonderjyske	15	4	2	9	-10	-3.8	14
8	Aarhus	15	3	4	8	-4	-1.2	13
9	Aalborg	14	2	5	7	-13	-10.0	11
10	Vejle	15	3	2	10	-15	-9.5	11
11	Nordsjaelland	15	3	2	10	-17	-0.2	11
12	Lyngby	14	1	6	7	-7	-5.6	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.