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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Randers FC

S T T S T

3–1

Full-time

Aarhus

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,2

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 66%

68%

64%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,08 xG 1,62

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Randers FC 6. · Aarhus 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	25	13	8	4	+15	+13.7	47
2	Midtjylland	25	14	4	7	+12	+5.3	46
3	Brondby	25	11	9	5	+14	+6.7	42
4	Aarhus	25	10	10	5	+20	+9.3	40
5	Silkeborg	26	10	9	7	+12	+5.8	39
6	Randers FC	25	10	8	7	+8	+9.0	38
7	Viborg	26	10	8	8	+5	-6.8	38
8	Nordsjaelland	25	11	5	9	+3	+6.5	38
9	Sonderjyske	26	7	5	14	-22	-13.2	26
10	Aalborg	26	5	8	13	-26	-19.7	23
11	Lyngby	26	3	10	13	-15	-7.0	19
12	Vejle	26	4	6	16	-26	-9.5	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	12	10	0	2	+9	+4.2	30
2	Nordsjaelland	13	8	4	1	+14	+5.3	28
3	FC Copenhagen	13	8	4	1	+11	+9.9	28
4	Aarhus	13	7	6	0	+18	+7.7	27
5	Viborg	13	8	2	3	+5	-4.9	26
6	Brondby	12	6	5	1	+9	+4.5	23
7	Silkeborg	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.9	22
8	Randers FC	12	6	3	3	+8	+6.8	21
9	Sonderjyske	13	4	3	6	-12	-8.5	15
10	Aalborg	13	3	4	6	-13	-9.6	13
11	Lyngby	13	2	5	6	-8	-2.0	11
12	Vejle	13	2	5	6	-10	-1.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	13	5	4	4	+5	+2.1	19
2	FC Copenhagen	12	5	4	3	+4	+3.8	19
3	Silkeborg	13	4	5	4	+5	+3.8	17
4	Randers FC	13	4	5	4	+0	+2.2	17
5	Midtjylland	13	4	4	5	+3	+1.2	16
6	Aarhus	12	3	4	5	+2	+1.6	13
7	Viborg	13	2	6	5	+0	-1.9	12
8	Sonderjyske	13	3	2	8	-10	-4.7	11
9	Nordsjaelland	12	3	1	8	-11	+1.1	10
10	Aalborg	13	2	4	7	-13	-10.1	10
11	Lyngby	13	1	5	7	-7	-5.0	8
12	Vejle	13	2	1	10	-16	-8.0	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.