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Superligaen
Referee: J Karlsen
Randers FC
U T T U U
1–2
Full-time
Aarhus
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
29%
65%
Points per game
1,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
53%
Both score Ø 53%
41%
65%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,96 xG 0,88
50% Possession 50%
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Randers FC 9. · Aarhus 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 17 11 4 2 +17 +14.5 37
2 Midtjylland 18 10 6 2 +27 +5.1 36
3 Brondby 17 10 1 6 +11 +9.5 31
4 FC Copenhagen 17 8 4 5 +6 +13.4 28
5 Sonderjyske 17 7 5 5 +3 -1.9 26
6 Odense 18 7 5 6 -5 +5.3 26
7 Viborg 18 7 3 8 +2 -2.8 24
8 Nordsjaelland 18 8 0 10 -3 -1.8 24
9 Randers FC 17 5 4 8 -6 +2.1 19
10 Silkeborg 18 5 4 9 -14 -13.5 19
11 Fredericia 18 4 2 12 -22 -17.8 14
12 Vejle 17 2 4 11 -16 -12.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Karlsen · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.