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Europa League
Referee: Marco Guida
Benfica
S S U U S
3–1
Full-time
Aarhus
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,2
Scored
3,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

71% Possession 29%
13 Shots on target 1
11 Blocked shots 1
11 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Benfica Aarhus
1–0 Rafa Silva ⚽
2′
Leandro Barreiro 🟨
9′
Tomás Araújo 🟨
24′
2–0 L. Barreiro ⚽
31′
36′
⚽ S. Jorgensen 2–1
J. Andersen
3–1 V. Pavlidis ⚽
45′
Half-time 3–1
Vangelis Pavlidis ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
46′
57′
🔁 R. Carstensen
↦ C. Rosler
57′
🔁 S. Tchamche
↦ S. Jorgensen
R. Rios 🔁
↦ L. Barreiro
66′
J. Duran 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
72′
A. Schjelderup 🔁
↦ G. Prestianni
72′
73′
🔁 J. Jonsson
↦ M. Knudsen
73′
🔁 G. Links
↦ F. Emmery
81′
🔁 M. Anderson
↦ J. Bogere
83′
🟨 Stefen Tchamche
F. Aursnes 🔁
↦ G. Sudakov
84′
J. Kaminski 🔁
↦ Rafa Silva
84′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-1-3-2
24 S. Soares G
6 A. Bah D
2 C. Lenglet D
44 T. Araujo D
26 S. Dahl D
18 L. Barreiro M
25 G. Prestianni M
5 E. Barrenechea M
10 G. Sudakov M
14 V. Pavlidis F
27 Rafa Silva M
Bench (12)
1 A. Trubin
58 D. Banjaqui
62 J. Neto
33 Gabriel Indio
8 F. Aursnes
16 Manu Silva
20 R. Rios
13 J. Kaminski
22 J. Duran
72 Anisio
11 D. Lukebakio
21 A. Schjelderup

Coach: Marco Silva

Aarhus

3-5-2
21 M. Hedenstad G
25 C. Rosler D
44 M. Camara D
19 E. Kahl D
26 J. Andersen M
8 S. Jorgensen M
10 K. Arnstad F
4 M. Knudsen M
39 F. Emmery F
31 T. Bech F
28 J. Bogere F
Bench (12)
1 J. Hansen
42 M. van der Raad
45 C. Storch
14 T. Molgaard
33 L. Callo
16 J. Jonsson
11 G. Links
29 R. Carstensen
23 M. Anderson
7 M. Solbakken
13 J. Serra
27 S. Tchamche

Coach: Jakob Poulsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.