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Superligaen

Referee: L Graagaard

Brondby

S T S S S

3–3

Full-time

Aarhus

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 69%

64%

73%

Points per game

1,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

45%

64%

Both score Ø 55%

36%

73%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,6

2,1

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,86 xG 1,17

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 4. · Aarhus 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	11	8	2	1	+13	+10.1	26
2	Midtjylland	11	6	4	1	+12	-0.4	22
3	FC Copenhagen	12	6	3	3	+8	+11.0	21
4	Brondby	11	7	0	4	+7	+9.8	21
5	Nordsjaelland	12	6	0	6	-2	-1.4	18
6	Randers FC	12	5	1	6	-3	-0.3	16
7	Odense	12	4	3	5	-9	+2.9	15
8	Silkeborg	12	4	2	6	-6	-7.6	14
9	Sonderjyske	11	3	3	5	-3	-5.2	12
10	Viborg	12	4	0	8	-5	-3.4	12
11	Fredericia	11	3	2	6	-6	-9.1	11
12	Vejle	11	1	4	6	-6	-6.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	6	4	2	0	+9	+3.4	14
2	Aarhus	6	4	1	1	+6	+10.2	13
3	Brondby	6	4	0	2	+5	+4.6	12
4	Silkeborg	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.8	10
5	Odense	6	3	1	2	-1	+2.9	10
6	Randers FC	5	3	0	2	-1	-2.0	9
7	Nordsjaelland	6	3	0	3	-1	+0.9	9
8	Sonderjyske	5	2	1	2	+1	-3.9	7
9	Fredericia	6	2	1	3	-3	-4.1	7
10	FC Copenhagen	5	1	3	1	+1	+6.7	6
11	Viborg	6	2	0	4	-2	-3.0	6
12	Vejle	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	7	5	0	2	+7	+4.3	15
2	Aarhus	5	4	1	0	+7	-0.1	13
3	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+2	+5.2	9
4	Nordsjaelland	6	3	0	3	-1	-2.3	9
5	Midtjylland	5	2	2	1	+3	-3.8	8
6	Randers FC	7	2	1	4	-2	+1.7	7
7	Viborg	6	2	0	4	-3	-0.3	6
8	Sonderjyske	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.3	5
9	Odense	6	1	2	3	-8	-0.0	5
10	Fredericia	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.0	4
11	Silkeborg	6	1	1	4	-7	-8.3	4
12	Vejle	5	0	2	3	-4	-3.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.