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DBU Pokalen

Referee: M Redder

Aarhus

S S S U S

2–1

Full-time

Sonderjyske

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Sonderjyske

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

6,5

Scored

2,0

6,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+5,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 40. · Sonderjyske 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Esbjerg	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Odense	3	3	0	0	+17	9
3	Aarhus Fremad	4	3	0	1	+12	9
4	Vejle	3	3	0	0	+11	9
5	Hobro	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Viborg	3	2	1	0	+7	7
7	Fredericia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Brønshøj	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Lyseng	4	2	1	1	-2	7
10	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+11	6
11	VSK Århus	3	2	0	1	+8	6
12	Holbæk B&I	3	2	0	1	+7	6
13	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+6	6
14	Silkeborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Hillerød	3	2	0	1	+5	6
16	HIK	3	2	0	1	+5	6
17	Thisted FC	3	2	0	1	+5	6
18	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+5	6
19	Kolding IF	3	2	0	1	+4	6
20	Sundby	3	2	0	1	+3	6
21	Aalborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
22	Ringsted	3	2	0	1	+2	6
23	Oksbøl	3	2	0	1	+1	6
24	Hvidovre IF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
25	Kolding B	3	2	0	1	-1	6
26	B 93	3	1	1	1	+7	4
27	Odder	2	1	1	0	+2	4
28	GVI	2	1	1	0	+2	4
29	AB Copenhagen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
30	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
31	Lyngby	3	1	1	1	-1	4
32	Skjold Sæby	2	1	0	1	+5	3
33	Vejgaard B	2	1	0	1	+5	3
34	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+4	3
35	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
36	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
37	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Skive	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	FC Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Farsø/Ullits	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	BSI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	FA 2000	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Tune	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Skanderborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Ishøj	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Bramming	2	1	0	1	-3	3
52	Mejrup	2	1	0	1	-3	3
53	Marstal / Rise	2	1	0	1	-4	3
54	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	-4	3
55	Silkeborg KFUM	3	1	0	2	-7	3
56	Raklev	2	1	0	1	-8	3
57	FC Kalundborg	2	1	0	1	-10	3
58	LSF	2	0	2	0	+0	2
59	Frem	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Nykobing FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	OKS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Tved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Næsby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	TRIF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	FC Helsingor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Sønderborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Stenløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Skovsgård	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Rudersdal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Fredensborg BI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Skødstrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Billund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	BK Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Grenaa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Skibsby-Hojene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-5	0
97	Norager	1	0	0	1	-5	0
98	Husum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
99	Viktoria	1	0	0	1	-5	0
100	Øresund OKF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
101	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
102	Snejbjerg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
103	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
104	Ålholm	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ringsted	3	2	0	1	+2	6
2	Oksbøl	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Holbæk B&I	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Bramming	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hvidovre IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Farsø/Ullits	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	BSI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Skanderborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Sundby	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Lyseng	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Mejrup	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Marstal / Rise	2	1	0	1	-4	3
16	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	-4	3
17	Raklev	2	1	0	1	-8	3
18	FC Kalundborg	2	1	0	1	-10	3
19	LSF	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	GVI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Fredericia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	AB Copenhagen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Esbjerg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	OKS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Næsby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Thisted FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Middelfart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Aarhus Fremad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Vejgaard B	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	FC Helsingor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Tune	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Skovsgård	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Rudersdal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Fredensborg BI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Skive	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Kolding IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Skødstrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Hobro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	B 93	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Aalborg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	BK Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Grenaa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Skibsby-Hojene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Norager	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Husum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Kolding B	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Viktoria	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Øresund OKF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	FC Horsens	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
71	Snejbjerg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
72	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
73	Silkeborg KFUM	2	0	0	2	-10	0
74	Ålholm	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odense	3	3	0	0	+17	9
2	Aarhus Fremad	3	3	0	0	+13	9
3	Vejle	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	Hobro	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Esbjerg	3	3	0	0	+3	9
6	Viborg	3	2	1	0	+7	7
7	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+11	6
8	VSK Århus	3	2	0	1	+8	6
9	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+6	6
10	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Hillerød	2	2	0	0	+6	6
12	Silkeborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	HIK	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+6	6
16	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	Kolding B	2	2	0	0	+4	6
18	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
19	B 93	2	1	1	0	+10	4
20	Brønshøj	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Lyseng	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Lyngby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+6	3
25	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+6	3
26	Skjold Sæby	2	1	0	1	+5	3
27	FC Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
28	Sundby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
29	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Odder	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	AB Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	GVI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Tune	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Frem	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Nykobing FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Tved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	TRIF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Sønderborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Stenløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Billund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Ishøj	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Bramming	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.