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Superligaen
Aarhus
U S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Aalborg
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
This season — Superligaen · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
27%
55%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 41%
36%
45%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 10. · Aalborg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 12 9 1 2 +16 28
2 FC Copenhagen 12 7 4 1 +17 25
3 Aalborg 11 6 3 2 +9 21
4 Randers FC 12 6 3 3 +3 21
5 Silkeborg 12 4 6 2 +4 18
6 Brondby 12 3 6 3 +0 15
7 Odense 12 3 5 4 +1 14
8 Nordsjaelland 12 4 2 6 -5 14
9 Viborg 12 2 6 4 -4 12
10 Aarhus 11 3 3 5 -7 12
11 Sonderjyske 12 2 3 7 -11 9
12 Vejle 12 0 2 10 -23 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.