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DBU Pokalen
Referee: A Uslu
0–8
Full-time
Aarhus
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vatanspor Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aarhus Fremad 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 Naestved 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Middelfart 2 2 0 0 +8 6
5 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +7 6
7 Ishøj 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +7 6
9 Vanløse 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +5 6
11 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 FA 2000 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 FC Helsingor 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 AB Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
15 Fremad Amager 2 2 0 0 +2 6
16 HB Koge 2 1 1 0 +4 4
17 Brabrand 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 Kerteminde 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 +7 3
20 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +7 3
21 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +7 3
22 BSF 1 1 0 0 +5 3
23 Tårnby FF 2 1 0 1 +3 3
24 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Skive 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Karlslunde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Vatanspor 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Frem 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 SfB-Oure 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Jammerbugt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Nordsjaelland 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Kastrup 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Hedensted 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Kolding IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Allerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Culpa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Frederikshavn 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Jyllinge 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 Marienlyst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Tuse 2 1 0 1 -4 3
47 Viby 2 1 0 1 -5 3
48 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Odder 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 SGI 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Marstal / Rise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Varde 2 0 1 1 -2 1
53 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Klitmøller 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Mosede 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Hillerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 HIK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Dalum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 B 1909 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Munkebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 FB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Såby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 VSK Århus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Vejgaard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 VRI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Esbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Farsø/Ullits 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Solrød 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 BK Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 OKS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Tune 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 B 1973 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Skovshoved 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -5 0
89 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -6 0
90 Give Fremad 1 0 0 1 -7 0
91 Broager 1 0 0 1 -8 0
92 Øster Hornum 1 0 0 1 -8 0
93 Slagelse B&I 2 0 0 2 -9 0
94 AIA-Tranbjerg 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vatanspor Aarhus
16′
S. Haugen 0–1
17′
S. Haugen 0–2
36′
Y. Bisseck 0–3
Half-time 0–3
S. Nasir 🔁
↦ A. Cumar Mohamed
55′
İ. Deveci 🔁
↦ A. Ayhan
55′
55′
🔁 F. Tingager
↦ Y. Bisseck
55′
🔁 O. Lund
↦ T. Kristensen
55′
🔁 S. Grønning
↦ S. Haugen
58′
S. Haugen 0–4
63′
🔁 G. Links
↦ E. Kahl
63′
🔁 B. Hvidt
↦ A. DAlberto
63′
F. Tingager 0–5
65′
F. Brandhof 0–6
70′
F. Brandhof 0–7
R. Krüger 🔁
↦ K. Hajdarević
80′
A. Habibi 🔁
↦ A. Al Badri
80′
81′
K. Yakob 0–8
A. Ibrahim 🔁
↦ L. Thaqi
83′
S. Nasir 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–8

Line-ups

Vatanspor

5 Mohammed Al Badri
8 A. Al Badri
23 A. Ayhan
6 A. Cumar Mohamed
13 S. Gaarsmann
3 S. Genc
18 T. Topcu
7 M. Kalala
20 K. Hajdarević
9 S. Kapidžić
30 L. Thaqi
Bench (9)
10 S. Nasir
17 İ. Deveci
12 R. Krüger
19 A. Habibi
21 A. Ibrahim
1 A. Kais
27 T. Kayed
29 E. Alici
28 A. Naz

Coach: V. Ceran

Aarhus

1 J. Hansen
26 A. D'Alberto
37 S. Hausner
4 Y. Bisseck
19 E. Kahl
23 T. Kristensen
29 F. Brandhof
7 M. Madsen
17 K. Yakob
10 S. Haugen
18 J. Duin
Bench (9)
5 F. Tingager
15 O. Lund
27 S. Grønning
11 G. Links
22 B. Hvidt
8 M. Anderson
9 P. Mortensen
14 T. Henriksen
16 P. Bråtveit

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Uslu · 52 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.