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Superligaen

Referee: Jacob A Sundberg

Aarhus

S S S T S

2–3

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,5

This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 64%

57%

71%

Points per game

1,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

46% Possession 54%

18 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 5. · Nordsjaelland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Randers FC	8	5	3	0	+7	18
2	Nordsjaelland	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	Viborg	8	5	0	3	+3	15
4	Silkeborg	8	4	1	3	+4	13
5	Aarhus	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	FC Copenhagen	8	4	0	4	+2	12
7	Horsens	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Midtjylland	8	2	3	3	+0	9
9	Brondby	8	3	0	5	-5	9
10	Aalborg	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Odense	8	2	1	5	-8	7
12	Lyngby	8	0	2	6	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viborg	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Randers FC	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Nordsjaelland	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Aarhus	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Horsens	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Silkeborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	FC Copenhagen	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Brondby	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Aalborg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Odense	5	1	0	4	-7	3
11	Lyngby	4	0	2	2	-5	2
12	Midtjylland	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	4	2	2	0	+6	8
2	Randers FC	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Nordsjaelland	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Silkeborg	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	FC Copenhagen	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Aarhus	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Odense	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Horsens	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Aalborg	4	1	0	3	-2	3
10	Viborg	4	1	0	3	-3	3
11	Brondby	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	Lyngby	4	0	0	4	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.