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LaLiga2
Referee: R Sanchez
Malaga
U S T T S
2–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 43%
47%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
61%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
61%
55%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
24 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
4 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Malaga 6. · Sp Gijon 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 38 22 6 10 +22 -1.1 72
2 Almeria 39 21 8 10 +20 +2.0 71
3 La Coruna 39 20 11 8 +19 +1.2 71
4 Las Palmas 38 18 12 8 +19 +2.4 66
5 Castellon 39 18 11 10 +17 +6.9 65
6 Malaga 38 18 9 11 +17 +6.3 63
7 Burgos 39 17 12 10 +11 +5.3 63
8 Eibar 38 17 10 11 +11 +6.4 61
9 Cordoba 38 16 9 13 -2 +4.1 57
10 Andorra 38 15 10 13 +8 +2.0 55
11 Ceuta 39 15 10 14 -12 -15.4 55
12 Albacete 39 14 11 14 -1 +2.0 53
13 Sp Gijon 38 15 7 16 +2 +1.9 52
14 Granada 38 12 12 14 -1 +0.7 48
15 Valladolid 39 12 10 17 -7 +2.2 46
16 Leganes 38 10 12 16 -5 +3.1 42
17 Sociedad B 38 11 9 18 -8 -9.3 42
18 Cadiz 39 10 9 20 -20 -6.7 39
19 Huesca 38 9 9 20 -20 -0.4 36
20 Mirandes 38 9 9 20 -22 -4.9 36
21 Zaragoza 39 8 11 20 -20 +2.9 35
22 Cultural Leonesa 39 8 9 22 -28 -11.5 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Sp Gijon
11′
J. Dubasin 0–1
G. Rosas
13′
ℹ️ Jonathan Dubasin
VAR: Goal confirmed
24′
ℹ️ Jonathan Dubasin
VAR: Card upgrade
25′
🟥 Jonathan Dubasin
Chupe 🔁
↦ D. Brasanac
35′
Carlos Dotor 🟥
45′
Half-time 0–1
R. Enriquez 🔁
↦ E. Galilea
46′
53′
🟨 Andrés Cuenca
1–1 Chupe
R. Enriquez
54′
59′
🔁 J. Otero
↦ G. Campos
61′
🟨 Rubén Yáñez
61′
🟨 Justin Smith
A. Ochoa 🔁
↦ A. Nino
69′
H. Abaida 🔁
70′
76′
🔁 K. Vazquez
↦ D. Sanchez
76′
🔁 M. Rodriguez
↦ A. Cuenca
Diego Murillo 🟨
81′
R. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ I. Merino
83′
86′
🟨 César Gelabert
2–1 J. Munoz
R. Rodriguez
86′
90′
🔁 P. Garcia
↦ A. Corredera
90′
🔁 M. Conde
↦ G. Rosas
92′
🟨 Juan Otero
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 A. Herrero G
3 C. Puga D
16 D. Murillo D
4 E. Galilea D
31 Rafita D
5 D. Brasanac M
23 I. Merino M
10 D. Larrubia M
12 C. Dotor M
11 J. Munoz M
21 A. Nino F
Bench (12)
13 C. Lopez
14 V. Garcia
20 J. Montero
17 E. Jauregi
24 J. Lobete
37 R. Rodriguez
9 Chupe
6 R. Enriquez
7 H. Abaida
36 A. Recio
2 J. Gabilondo
35 A. Ochoa

Coach: Juan Funes

Sp Gijon

5-4-1
1 R. Yanez G
2 G. Rosas D
15 P. Vazquez D
4 L. Perrin D
44 A. Cuenca D
5 D. Sanchez D
10 C. Gelabert Pina M
24 J. Smith M
14 A. Corredera M
7 G. Campos M
17 J. Dubasin F
Bench (11)
13 C. Joel
30 I. Venteo
20 K. Vazquez
3 P. Garcia
18 A. Coundoul
19 J. Otero
23 E. Curbelo
8 J. Bernal
27 A. Oyon
47 M. Conde
36 M. Rodriguez

Coach: Borja Jimenez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
3,97
B
5,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Sanchez · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.